Last election, the New York Times was predicting that Trump would lose.
Now, the same pollster is predicting on the data - as of this moment - a 90% chance of a Trump victory. He is also projecting a Trump popular vote win by 1%.
Polls are worthless. Nobody in their right mind saw Trump losing 2020 - Biden was a joke people were talking about his campaigning from his basement and not even getting triple digits at rallies. I still remember all the memes of him "calling a lid". Within minutes of those swing states stopping people were calling foul.
I don't trust this until Trump is in office, alive, and people start going to jail.
Except the shit like badacathcare, the weird pedo comments about kids touching his leg hair, "trunimalalprezure" or whatever the fuck that word salad was, were all prior to the election. We all saw him being retarded.
I remember Larry Elder telling a dem caller that if a bunch of votes came in overnight almost 100% for a Republican you guys would scream bloody murder. The guy was saying that nothing was wrong with ballots overnight
Maybe I'm just naive but I feel like the year 2020 was a fever dream and people got away with stuff that won't fly this time around. Gonna be hard to rig it with everyone watching for it.
Conversely though, they've been spitting out propaganda about "misinformation" and January 6th stuff almost non-stop since then. So they may really not be that concerned about anyone calling them out since they maintain such control over the official narrative.
Elon owning Twitter is the big wild card this time. Hopefully it scares them into not trying any fuckery. If they are still brazen enough to do it again, they are going to find that they don't have as much control over the narrative as they think they do.
Virtually everyone's called NC and Georgia for Trump. Assuming Alaska goes Trump, all he needs is PA (Harris can have Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona and Nevada).
And in PA right now, Trump is up 222000 votes with Fox estimating about 700k ballots left.
Shenanigans can still happen, but I think it is too far gone at this point. Based Amish carried things in PA I think.
Same as last time. Somehow, the three or four most critical swing states will stall out their counts and wait for you to go to bed. Then you'll wake up tomorrow...
Ohio is close. Everybody was focusing their attention on securing the more obvious swing states, but we all had Ohio safe in the Trump column so we took our eyes off of it. Now it's closer than it's been in 2016 and 2020. Looks like a whole lot of fuckery going on in the cities.
Edit: Never mind. Called for Trump. But still, she bucked the trend there, which was probably cheating.
I only saw this now. I would have told you Ohio wasn't close. I will tell you that the Left was radical in Ohio, but their numbers are just too small. It's probably gonna end up +11.
Moreno is probably gonna win too, which is great because Vance was a MAGA senator, and now Moreno will also be a MAGA senator, rather than some worthless DeWine pick.
Like always, the cities are bad. But she's not as smart as Obama where she wins 17 out of 88 counties and takes the state. In fact, she's only got 7. Trump already won more votes than Barack Obama, and this isn't a state with a major population growth.
I'm not going to just say that it's a guarantee, but Loudon County, VA: Trump is up +2 from where he was in 2016, and almost +5 from from where he was in 2020.
This means that there is a big red push in VA. Even in blue counties.
Florida is fucking gone. It's not close. He's within 10,000 votes in just Palm Beach.
I'm not gonna say there's a red wave... but if it happens, don't be surprised.
E1: Duval County in Florida swung hard to Trump. That suggests a big College White move towards Trump. It's in Florida, so maybe that's a state-wide move for the state overall, but it could also be another good indicator.
E2: Wayne County's early vote went to Trump... Gents, that's Detroit. Now, Harris will win the county eventually... but that's a huge indicator of the Trump support in Michigan.
E3: People's Pundit is declaring NC to Trump. I suspected it would be the case, but it's an important win.
E4: The Hill and Decision Desk called Virginia for Harris... but at this moment VA is 49.3% Trump, 49% Harris... Uh. Y'all sure that isn't too close to call?
E5: VA might still be Harris (which tells you how bad she actually preformed), but Trump appears to have won Hispanics in MI 60-35. Read that again.
E6: Well, we have our answer gentlemen. It looks like a pretty strong win. He won back College Educated Whites, he won a bunch of Blacks, and he won a bunch of Hispanics. If we're lucky, in a few days, we'll see a sweep. There appears to be a red tide at my feet. Granted it's not 3:00 AM yet, but I don't think it matters. Too big to rig.
Not really. The middle managerial elite have no objection to your daughter getting raped so that they can call themselves good people and keep their government jobs. Trump is basically telling them their careers are over, so whatever he gains with normal people, he looses badly with the bureaucratic class.
The first law congress passed in 2021 was to force the VP to certify all the votes, no matter what went down in the state. It'll be funny to see them try to weasel out of that now.
I actually fully expected the leftists to do something like that as a 2023 surprise. Do an "investigation," find out that oopsie poopsie, there had been juuuust enough mistakes that Trump won, and then essentially claim that he had legally been President, and therefore couldn't run again.
Most of them are morbidly obese slow-moving DEI hires.
They'll never live long enough to collect much pension anyway, might as well let them get what's coming to them now.
Pelosi no longer can order them to stand down, they'll be forced to hit the streets and do their jobs.
Some will die, but that's a price I'm willing to pay.
I think the resignation of the loss is a lot higher this year. Trump had zero chance of winning according to every poll in 2016, and nobody considered him a threat. So the breakdown was strong.
This year Harris has struggled to build any hype, to the point where their own voters are not turning out in incredible numbers. And a lot of them can look at the inflation problem and no longer NIMBY it.
So while a lot of posturing and preening about Trump winning might happen, the actual depths of it will be nowhere close.
I think no because it was 2016 was a bigger shock, but I think yes because there are elites that are real concern that they're gonna lose control over everything.
Hawaii is really bad; it's worse than California. That's why they were able to set their own constituents on fire and burn up children. There's just no outreach by Republicans.
Yeah, I saw that last election. Then I went to bed.
Same
Out came the suitcases
Last election, the New York Times was predicting that Trump would lose.
Now, the same pollster is predicting on the data - as of this moment - a 90% chance of a Trump victory. He is also projecting a Trump popular vote win by 1%.
Polls are worthless. Nobody in their right mind saw Trump losing 2020 - Biden was a joke people were talking about his campaigning from his basement and not even getting triple digits at rallies. I still remember all the memes of him "calling a lid". Within minutes of those swing states stopping people were calling foul.
I don't trust this until Trump is in office, alive, and people start going to jail.
I mean, whether you think Biden won or it was close enough to steal, that was BECAUSE he stayed in his basement and people did not see his dementia.
Also because the economy tanked because of Covid.
Except the shit like badacathcare, the weird pedo comments about kids touching his leg hair, "trunimalalprezure" or whatever the fuck that word salad was, were all prior to the election. We all saw him being retarded.
Fox News called the election for Trump, Georgia called for Trump, PA and WI 3%+ Trump lead, looking good.
FirstTime?.jpeg
Incoming 3am 300k ballot dump in a swing state, 99% for Kamel.
I remember Larry Elder telling a dem caller that if a bunch of votes came in overnight almost 100% for a Republican you guys would scream bloody murder. The guy was saying that nothing was wrong with ballots overnight
99%? Did they learn from last time when it was literally 100% mail ins found for Biden?
Let’s see how those printers in Pennsylvania and Michigan are doing before getting excited.
And the pipes in Atlanta...
I love how the news media didn’t see that as suspicious or polling places stopping the count
Or putting up giant whiteout boards over glass to prevent anyone looking at the pollsters, or observe what they were doing.
Nothing suspicious about that of course
Maybe I'm just naive but I feel like the year 2020 was a fever dream and people got away with stuff that won't fly this time around. Gonna be hard to rig it with everyone watching for it.
Conversely though, they've been spitting out propaganda about "misinformation" and January 6th stuff almost non-stop since then. So they may really not be that concerned about anyone calling them out since they maintain such control over the official narrative.
Elon owning Twitter is the big wild card this time. Hopefully it scares them into not trying any fuckery. If they are still brazen enough to do it again, they are going to find that they don't have as much control over the narrative as they think they do.
Virtually everyone's called NC and Georgia for Trump. Assuming Alaska goes Trump, all he needs is PA (Harris can have Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona and Nevada).
And in PA right now, Trump is up 222000 votes with Fox estimating about 700k ballots left.
Shenanigans can still happen, but I think it is too far gone at this point. Based Amish carried things in PA I think.
Same as last time. Somehow, the three or four most critical swing states will stall out their counts and wait for you to go to bed. Then you'll wake up tomorrow...
They haven’t started counting all the ballots “found” in someone’s trunk yet. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves here.
Here's the 270 to Win site if you would care to watch such a thing in realish time.
According to this, they just called PA for Trump, putting him at 270. Could it be?
I'll be happier once he grabs some of the tactical swing states but I think he's got it.
I'm more concerned about the house and senate races. If the Democrats get control of both they'll bar Trump from even taking office.
Ohio is close. Everybody was focusing their attention on securing the more obvious swing states, but we all had Ohio safe in the Trump column so we took our eyes off of it. Now it's closer than it's been in 2016 and 2020. Looks like a whole lot of fuckery going on in the cities.
Edit: Never mind. Called for Trump. But still, she bucked the trend there, which was probably cheating.
I only saw this now. I would have told you Ohio wasn't close. I will tell you that the Left was radical in Ohio, but their numbers are just too small. It's probably gonna end up +11.
Moreno is probably gonna win too, which is great because Vance was a MAGA senator, and now Moreno will also be a MAGA senator, rather than some worthless DeWine pick.
Yeah. I saw her outperforming Biden's numbers in the cities and got worried, but I shouldn't have jumped the gun.
Like always, the cities are bad. But she's not as smart as Obama where she wins 17 out of 88 counties and takes the state. In fact, she's only got 7. Trump already won more votes than Barack Obama, and this isn't a state with a major population growth.
I'm not going to just say that it's a guarantee, but Loudon County, VA: Trump is up +2 from where he was in 2016, and almost +5 from from where he was in 2020.
This means that there is a big red push in VA. Even in blue counties.
Florida is fucking gone. It's not close. He's within 10,000 votes in just Palm Beach.
I'm not gonna say there's a red wave... but if it happens, don't be surprised.
E1: Duval County in Florida swung hard to Trump. That suggests a big College White move towards Trump. It's in Florida, so maybe that's a state-wide move for the state overall, but it could also be another good indicator.
E2: Wayne County's early vote went to Trump... Gents, that's Detroit. Now, Harris will win the county eventually... but that's a huge indicator of the Trump support in Michigan.
E3: People's Pundit is declaring NC to Trump. I suspected it would be the case, but it's an important win.
E4: The Hill and Decision Desk called Virginia for Harris... but at this moment VA is 49.3% Trump, 49% Harris... Uh. Y'all sure that isn't too close to call?
E5: VA might still be Harris (which tells you how bad she actually preformed), but Trump appears to have won Hispanics in MI 60-35. Read that again.
E6: Well, we have our answer gentlemen. It looks like a pretty strong win. He won back College Educated Whites, he won a bunch of Blacks, and he won a bunch of Hispanics. If we're lucky, in a few days, we'll see a sweep. There appears to be a red tide at my feet. Granted it's not 3:00 AM yet, but I don't think it matters. Too big to rig.
It's fucking insane that all the leftist lunacy inflicted on Loudon County in the last four years only yields a tiny single digit bump for the right.
Not really. The middle managerial elite have no objection to your daughter getting raped so that they can call themselves good people and keep their government jobs. Trump is basically telling them their careers are over, so whatever he gains with normal people, he looses badly with the bureaucratic class.
I'm waiting until Jan 20 to know for sure.
Trump could win the EC votes but the demoncrats will block it.
The first law congress passed in 2021 was to force the VP to certify all the votes, no matter what went down in the state. It'll be funny to see them try to weasel out of that now.
"Actually Trump did win 2020 and therefore can't win 2024! Checkmate Drumpfchuds!"
I actually fully expected the leftists to do something like that as a 2023 surprise. Do an "investigation," find out that oopsie poopsie, there had been juuuust enough mistakes that Trump won, and then essentially claim that he had legally been President, and therefore couldn't run again.
Crazy as that sounds I could see that
Sadly, me as well.
Fox News just called PA for Trump
I hope you are right
If Trump does win are the crying and breaking down reactions to be better than 2016 or will they be more subdued?
They're not going to cry. They feel like they have license to riot thanks to their artificially produced perception of J6.
I agree. They will try to do what they claim J6 was.
Sucks for Capitol Police. Hope the pension is worth it.
They bent the knee and followed orders after their predict was destroyed.
Most of them are morbidly obese slow-moving DEI hires.
They'll never live long enough to collect much pension anyway, might as well let them get what's coming to them now. Pelosi no longer can order them to stand down, they'll be forced to hit the streets and do their jobs. Some will die, but that's a price I'm willing to pay.
Maybe the tranny suicide rate will go over 50%.
Let’s hope. Thanks to 2020 I can’t get my hopes up. I went to bed last election thinking things were ok
I think the resignation of the loss is a lot higher this year. Trump had zero chance of winning according to every poll in 2016, and nobody considered him a threat. So the breakdown was strong.
This year Harris has struggled to build any hype, to the point where their own voters are not turning out in incredible numbers. And a lot of them can look at the inflation problem and no longer NIMBY it.
So while a lot of posturing and preening about Trump winning might happen, the actual depths of it will be nowhere close.
Yes and no.
I think no because it was 2016 was a bigger shock, but I think yes because there are elites that are real concern that they're gonna lose control over everything.
Holy shit it's happening. PA about to be called for Trump.
Remember to be as nasty as possible to anybody who had any doubts. Really rub their stupid faggot face in it.
Under 60% counts as a landslide?
Forecast - Kamala wins with surprise 800 Million absentee ballots, next Friday.
And that's just the swing states.
TWO GENDERS
TWO SCOOPS
TWO TERMS
I think they are calling it for Trump!
https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1854046415372296440
Even the shitty New York Times is saying Trump has 88% chance of winning.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html
(and sorry for the direct link, arhcive.ph is not recording the site properly)
edit 90% chance now that he won North Carolina.
109 vs 198 Trump is in the lead.
189 - 246 Trump lead.
I've got 205-230 Trump lead.
213-248 Trump Lead. It looks like PA is gonna go Trump, even if it somehow doesn't, He's leading in MI and WI and ME.
AZ and NV can keep counting until Saturday, I don't think it'll matter.
NJ is within 5 points. Trump got major gains from Hispanics & Blacks.
Huh, Google is not letting Trump get passed 230. As if that is an important number. They're happy to count the Harris wins at the same voting margins.
Big Tech being Big Tech.
Hawaii hasnt even voted and it's solid blue.
Hawaii is really bad; it's worse than California. That's why they were able to set their own constituents on fire and burn up children. There's just no outreach by Republicans.
looks like trumps won unless they pull some complete bullshit like in 2020
Not super into US politics. But it seems Trump is winning the popular vote? That to me says a ton.
(I think candidates focus on winning EC not on PV. So if they also win PV it means a tons)
CNN, Reuters call PA for Trump. MSNBC and CNN call for Trump. AP News still hasn't called PA
Edit - 0225 AP News finally calls PA for Trump
I'm still holding fast on a 5-10% lead win for Trump, as similar to the prediction I made 2 weeks ago (https://kotakuinaction2.win/p/199OKVMvrz/x/c/4ZFBzR5N1sY)
He will win but not by a significant margin.
So, how long until the suitcases arrive?