I'm pretty sure that is where it originates.
I was gonna say I swear this happened a while back...
Jay Jones. Virginia Attorney General. Leaked text messages.
I agree NYC is fucked but I am not so sure it will play out so obviously and swiftly to wake up normies and help with the midterms. If most of Europe has taught us anything, it's that the decline can be quick, but usually not that quick. Normies are elite with their ability to stay asleep.
Also, impeachments that do not amount to removals (and they wont because it would require some Dem votes) are little more than theater. I agree they should be going through with it as much as possible anyway, but I cant imagine it moves the needle with that many voters.
To an extent this is true, but if the midterms were tomorrow, the results would not be good, and that would be a rebuke of Trump. A lot of skeptical low propensity voters and independents he got in 2024 either because his populist promises or because Kamala is so damn terrible will stay home at this rate.
So much effort into the foreign policy of sand people and not enough into domestic issues like economy and immigration. He hasn't stopped the Ukraine war despite having every ability to force Zelenskyy to accept that they have to give up the Donbass. Not to mention the whole Epstein cover up that could not have been handled worse.
If they keep heading down this path, 2026 will be a massacre. Because the entire game is turnout. It used to be that Democrats benefited from higher turnout, but there has been a paradigm shift and now it's the opposite. Trump and the GOP need to motivate people to get off their asses to vote for them and they aren't exactly making the best case for it in recent months. That combined with Democrats being literal drones that will always vote blue no matter what and it could get really bad next year.
No, the real problem is that with 2 very orange exceptions there are no electoral consequences for the shit they're pulling and they know it
The dude who got caught fantasizing about killing Republicans and their children winning his race proves this for the 1 millionth time. Is there any doubt that a similar scandal for a GOP candidate would have tanked their campaign?
One side votes like robots holding the party line no matter what. The other side is infighting over whether some right wing podcaster should be canceled for platforming a controversial person.
The difficulty is 40%+ of people will vote for anyone with a D next to their name no matter how blatantly terrible they are. It's why boiling the frog in reverse is extremely difficult. You need to have solid performance to win when your opposition has a floor of 40% for every single candidate or issue in any remotely contested jurisdiction, so hemmoraghing any support is an electoral death sentence.
That's why it's easy to sympathize with people when they say there is no voting our way out of this.
Umineko, written by the same guy who made Higurashi, is also a great one. But it is quite polarizing. Either you love it or hate it. But it is suuuuper long.
Some things stand on their own. The profile pic causes an eyebrow raise but it doesn't really take away from the overall message to me.
Agreed. I don't doubt the veracity of the quote, but it doesn't take away from the fact that we need right leaning people to infiltrate institutions en masse. Even if most get weeded out, if the influx is great enough, the ones that avoid detection can represent a meaningful power shift.
Oh no, the page for the Holocaust isn't exactly how I'd like it, therefore it isn't useful in any respect
I've seen plenty of examples in just one day where the page is infinitely better than Wikipedia. Hell, the Gamergate page, while not perfect, was quite fair.
Not sure I would expect this to take significant traffic from Wikipedia, but if it managed to do so, it would be a sizable upgrade, JQ notwithstanding.
People on this site have such a weird attitude about muh AI. It's like people trip over themselves to say how much of a nothing burger it is while also then turning around and complaining how disastrous its effects will be. I know, I know, people will claim these are just different people saying these things, but sometimes I'm not so sure.
The fact of the matter is, despite it being retarded still in many ways, you have to remember a huge chunk of normies are retards and their jobs could easily be replaced by it down the line. That being said, anyone who wants to stop all development is living in fantasy land. If we don't develop it, other countries will.
Best we can do is try to develop it in a way that doesn't create some technocratic dystopia, although I definitely won't hold my breath there.
Well yeah, benevolent (and competent) monarchy is absolutely better than what we have now. But malevolent monarchy is significantly worse. The thing is it is getting bad enough where many people are happy to risk the latter for a chance at getting the former to fix the country.
Exactly. Have orange man name 3 from each party? There is nothing preventing them from arranging that among themselves.
I think there are some people that stalk downvote that guy.
For certain things, absolutely. But for most products, it isn't like there are absolutely no American options, they are just being undercut by cheap foreign shit. But I definitely agree that the lion's share of benefit from tariffs are mid to long term, and I think it is unlikely much of that benefit would be realized before someone comes along and undoes them.
Sure, but I'm responding to someone who seems oh so certain that it must be for insider trading. If there was some insider trading going on, I wouldn't be shocked. It's certainly greater than a 0% chance, perhaps even over 25%. But given the competing explanations and weak circumstantial evidence, I see no reason to think it's more than that, but that can always change. And of course, rogue insider trading wouldn't immediately imply systemic, intentional, sanctioned insider trading. Which is what that user was clearly insinuating is happening.
Sometimes I like to talk to try to get to the bottom of something, but I'm hearing you loud and clear: if it sounds like baseless reddit-tier retardation on the surface, it probably is. No sense wasting both of our time.
I don't even necessarily require hard proof to believe something, I just would here because the circumstantial evidence is so weak and the competing explanations are much more reasonable. I could much more easily believe him to be blackmailed by Israel without hard proof because the surrounding evidence is so much stronger. In this case, it just looks like mental gymnastics to look at orange man's normal way of doing things and put a negative spin on it.
I'm almost shocked it isn't more, but that's probably just because I'm more accustomed to US numbers.
I don't really have any reason to believe that Bitcoin short is the result of insider trading. The daily volume for BTC trade is about $100B. A whale shorting while it sits near an all time high after a huge bull run doesn't strike me as odd. This isn't as clear cut as the Peace Prize market on polymarket going to 100% for the lady who won before the official announcement.
why I'm accusing him of enabling insider trading.
There's a subtle but important sleight of hand here. "Enabling insider trading" is a meaningfully different accusation than what you initially said. Let's look at your initial comment:
At least he's putting tariffs on countries so his inner circle can make a lot of profit on insider trading before he withdraws them again.
This wording directly implies that he is engaging in the negotiating style he is simply for the purpose of facilitating insider trading in his inner circle.
The claim that he is "enabling" it with his words and actions is a lot more defensible, but also not really a grave accusation. The whiplash style of deal making he engages in naturally brings about a sort of environment that is ripe for insider trading, so in that sense you could say it enables it. But it's a bit of a vacuous accusation because the only way to 100% avoid that is to forsake that style of negotiation altogether. Of course, cutting down on the number of people who know about this stuff before it hits to a select handful is another potential method, but I'm not sure I would want that; I would rather all the economy-oriented minds get on the same page ahead of big moves like that.
I would love to have much more strict controls on those involved in government using insider info and/or extremely harsh punishments for those proven to have done so, but in the absence of that, I personally still wouldn't prefer to deprive ourselves of this method of negotiating trade deals just so redditors and people like yourself won't whine about potential insider trading.
Accusing Trump of being Israel first is also not based on orange man bad. It's based on him bending over backwards for Israel at every conceivable opportunity.
Again, not the topic at hand. I agree with you here.
The problem is there is zero basis for it. It's reddit-tier filling in the blanks through the lens of orange man bad despite there being a more reasonable explanation.
There may be someone somewhere who catches wind of info ahead of time and uses it to insider trade. But absent that proof (and believe me if there was any, we'd have seen it), and proof it was intentionally allowed, I am left to assume that is just how Trump negotiates, which is an easy assumption to make because it is well in-line with how he has acted for a decade now.
First paragraph is legendary levels of moving the goalposts. We are talking about alleged insider trading as it pertains to tariffs. I agree the TikTok shit is cucked Israel first BS but that is not what we are talking about in this comment chain.
But even if he isn't he's still enabling insider trading and not shutting that shit down
Again, based on nothing beyond simple orange man bad. The meer existence of market fluctuations at his words somehow proves insider trading to you. No basis. No proof. Just orange man bad. By this logic, I am insider trading by simply not being a retard and being able to see through his negotiating tactics.
The part where you're implying he's negotiating the very public and whiplashing way that he does just so people close to him can insider trade is the leftoid tier criticism because it lacks basis in anything other than orange man bad.
There is plenty of retarded stuff Trump does to shit on him over (the stuff in the OP included), but this is just leftoid-tier criticism. Tariffs have already been raised across the board. Just because he is repeatedly using threats of even higher tariffs as a negotiating tactic, doesn't mean it's for insider trading. Anyone who believes tariffs are good should appreciate the net positve of all the trade commotion this year. And if you don't believe in tariffs and think there should be zero barrier to goods made by slaves in the third world, that's a different conversation entirely. The more understandable criticism would be he should go harder and raise them even more on certain countries, but the counterpoint to that would be that gradual bumps are less of a shock.
I made out like a bandit earlier this year because I saw through his negotiating tactics and all the media panic over tariffs and invested accordingly. I can attest to you that I am not in Trump's inner circle, but I've certainly been accused of being weirder things on this board...
I would never expect him to win, but didn't nominations follow this one need to be in by several months back? Or was that not true?
It was one of the most retarded on its face stories I've ever seen.