The holofrost is the ultimate example of Bezemov's demoralization. Even on a forum centered around journalistic integrity, people can't bring themselves to look into the story.
Personally, I was absolutely shocked at how quickly it falls apart. Of course, it requires you to think in terms of engineering, not 'sources say'.
Many of the views expressed on this forum don't lend themselves to 'virtue signaling'. The leftist-style views are almost pure virtue signaling, which gets...tiresome.
Even Jester, who used to fight the good fight against holofrost deniers never went full [Greta voice] people are dying.
Oops, the broken link really screwed up that exchange!
The "Alabama-Huntsville" data is satellite data of the full global temperature conducted by the University of Alabama at Huntsville. It was started in 1979. It's not just data for one city. Come on brother, I'm not that stupid!
But, to be honest the data is similar to HADCRUT, if you start in 1979.
On the other hand, if you're happy with the pre-1970-ish measurements, then hey, maybe we've got a hyperbolic tangent on our hands. I guess all that I can say at this point is... given the longevity of my family, by the time I die we'll know which one of us is correct!
I don't mean to belabour a point here... but can you really look at the Alabama-Huntsville data (available at Dr Roy Spencer's website ) and call that exponential growth?
The growth seems stepwise, like the ninos/ninas occasionally dump heat into the atmosphere.
The problem with using HADCRUT is that the data from different time periods is collected using different methods. For instance, there wasn't too much thermometer coverage of the ocean back in 1921! The Alabama data gives us a 43 year window of consistent data. HADCRUT also gives us a similar number of years of consistent data.
On the other hand, if you trust HADCRUT back to 1850 or 1900, then I suppose there are any number of functions that you could fit to that data! Then we'd be in a situation where we'd have to agree to disagree.
I think you might have missed the point about models. Sure, you can use models to very accurately describe complex systems -- as long as the basic equations of the model are well understood and tested. Finite element modelling of Maxwell's equations are wonderfully accurate, for example.
With global warming, though, the assertion is that the trace amounts of extra carbon allegedly being pumped into the atmosphere will cause a positive feedback loop with water vapour -- a much more prevalent and effective 'greenhouse gas'.
The problem is that no one knows the strength of that positive feedback. In fact, you literally can't come up with a reasonable theory that would predict that strength. So you're left with two options. (1) guess; (2) use past CO2/Temperature data to determine the strength. Of course, if you look at the temperature record, there has been literally zero accelerated warming -- meaning that the warming trend has been linear -- so there's not really a basis for any of this modelling.
Furthermore, as Lord Monckton of Brenchly is fond of pointing out, the warming takes massive hiatuses. Right now there's been no warming for the last 8 years.
Also, the data sets involved are themselves mostly garbage, largely because: who ever cared about a number as pointless as 'global average temperature'?
I don't know whether I'm more disappointed in global warming 'physicists' or vaccine-pushing doctors.
Sex with a condom on is, at best, maybe 1% as good as unprotected sex. When the difference is that stark, it's no wonder that guys are insistent. Mind you, I've never had a 'one night stand', so I'm not sure of the dynamics of the situation.
I wish I could get some reliable data on this abiotic theory of oil. Since they find oil at enormous depths, it's unlikely that it's a 'fossil fuel'. But I'd like some data in the vein of: these oil fields in Pennsylvania, long thought exhausted, re-filled within 25 years.
Oh, I just meant that the shooting was so insanely egregious that he should have got a much stiffer sentence. Also, his shooting an unarmed, compliant person in cold blood is what we're told that whites do to blacks.