This is my take as well. I no longer put much stock in them, but it's trivially easy to do so I might as well on the off chance that voting still matters in some capacity.
It's also the only real legal form of "fuck you" to the government that actually means something. Protesting is almost a complete waste of time [BLM] outside of narrow circumstances.
As least if you vote and get counted, people will take notice. That's why I hate those fucking doomers so much, those faggots only exist to depress right wing voter turnout with their doomer bullshit. IMO they're probably left wing infiltrators.
Did he? Maybe, but I don't see them stealing the white house and then not cheating in two key senate runoffs in a state with Atlanta in it. (many joggers to carry out their plans)
How is voting a fuck you to the government? The government literally organizes and runs voting events so you'll feel like your oppression is caused by some other voter, instead of the people actually doing it.
Does this guy have a solid record of predicting past Senate elections? Polls are worthless unless they have a good record of predicting the results. Which is why MSM polls are a running joke. If they were accurate the Republicans would never win any elections. And yes, we all know that MSM polls are propaganda instead of predictions but the normies don't.
He correctly predicted Trump 2016 and all the major senate races in 2016.
His polls correctly predicted nearly every Senate race in 2020. He got Maine Senate and NC right when no one else other than Trafalgar polling did. Baris only got the Georgia runoffs wrong by a point.
Also his polls were off during Trump 2020 by a point in only WI, PA, AZ, GA. We know what type of fortification happened in those states in 2020.
The large majority of pollsters undercount the right wing voters, and this happened in a big way in 2016 and 2020. Hopefully this guy has a good method to account for the difference.
How did they mess up so badly in 16 and 20? I know bias comes into play but in 20 for instance some had Biden winning states by double digits that ended up being razor thin
They did it intentionally. MSM polling exists to suppress Republican voting and create the Dem narrative so when a Republican wins, they can yell Russian collusion.
No one knows exactly, but since the lib media screeches REPUBLICANS BAAAAD, TRUMPERS BAAAAD, MAGA REPUBLICANS = LITERAL TERRORISTS, the result is that a significant fraction of right wingers are more likely to hang up when they get called by pollsters.
If you get up to 80-90% Republican in a given legislature, you can actually start squeaking meaningful legislation against leftism through. Less than that means you'll risk having enough moderate compassionate conservatives who choose to keep losing with dignity to gum up the machine.
All you need to know is that both democrats and republicans work for israel, with some also moonlighting for China. Being a member of a secret society (i.e. freemasons) is required to hold any power, and they all rightly see the voting public as little more than cattle.
The Senate is harder because each election cycle, only 1/3 of the seats are up for election. And this time around Republicans have more seats to defend so they can't even pick up that many seats, but could possibly lose several. You add to that a bunch of weak candidates in places like GA, PA, and AZ and there won't be a red wave in the senate in even a best case scenario.
Don't be blackpilled...but also don't be whitepilled. Remain redpilled.
The Republican-favorable polls always seem to come out before the elections. Doesn't even matter if it's true or not, they'll trickle out more and more, to get the Dems motivated.
I’ll vote. We gotta keep Beto from winning in Texas
Thanks for doing your part!
Francis O'Rourke would utterly destroy Texas. He must not be allowed to win!
Beta the Dorke is basically AOC in a skater bro skinsuit.
I will also vote even though I live in libshit California.
We NEED to take the Senate so we can shut down all of Biden's executive and judicial appointments until we can retake the White House in 2024.
If nothing else, curtail the smug, the arrogant, and spite all their efforts.
Pascal's Wager but for voting. Maybe votes count and maybe they don't, but for how easy it is to get done, just do it in case they do.
This is my take as well. I no longer put much stock in them, but it's trivially easy to do so I might as well on the off chance that voting still matters in some capacity.
It's also the only real legal form of "fuck you" to the government that actually means something. Protesting is almost a complete waste of time [BLM] outside of narrow circumstances.
As least if you vote and get counted, people will take notice. That's why I hate those fucking doomers so much, those faggots only exist to depress right wing voter turnout with their doomer bullshit. IMO they're probably left wing infiltrators.
Voting is so low effort.
There is no reason not to do it.
Doomers like Lin Wood depressed Republican turnout in the Georgia runoffs in 2021 by telling Rs to stay home.
Dems got the Senate cause of this.
Fuck letting that happen again.
100%. The Democrats rammed through like 7 TRILLION in wasteful spending because of that 1 election that we should have won.
Did he? Maybe, but I don't see them stealing the white house and then not cheating in two key senate runoffs in a state with Atlanta in it. (many joggers to carry out their plans)
How is voting a fuck you to the government? The government literally organizes and runs voting events so you'll feel like your oppression is caused by some other voter, instead of the people actually doing it.
Does this guy have a solid record of predicting past Senate elections? Polls are worthless unless they have a good record of predicting the results. Which is why MSM polls are a running joke. If they were accurate the Republicans would never win any elections. And yes, we all know that MSM polls are propaganda instead of predictions but the normies don't.
Baris is the best pollster in America.
He correctly predicted Trump 2016 and all the major senate races in 2016.
His polls correctly predicted nearly every Senate race in 2020. He got Maine Senate and NC right when no one else other than Trafalgar polling did. Baris only got the Georgia runoffs wrong by a point.
Also his polls were off during Trump 2020 by a point in only WI, PA, AZ, GA. We know what type of fortification happened in those states in 2020.
Baris's predictions are right way more than not.
The large majority of pollsters undercount the right wing voters, and this happened in a big way in 2016 and 2020. Hopefully this guy has a good method to account for the difference.
Baris knows how to account for the often missed right wing Rural voters.
His polls have been very close to the final result during 2016 and 2020.
Polls are for shaping public opinion, not assessing it.
How did they mess up so badly in 16 and 20? I know bias comes into play but in 20 for instance some had Biden winning states by double digits that ended up being razor thin
They did it intentionally. MSM polling exists to suppress Republican voting and create the Dem narrative so when a Republican wins, they can yell Russian collusion.
Fucking A! This was made clear to me in 2016 and 2020.
Publicly released polls are meant to influence opinion, not report it.
That’s why “internal numbers” are a thing.
No one knows exactly, but since the lib media screeches REPUBLICANS BAAAAD, TRUMPERS BAAAAD, MAGA REPUBLICANS = LITERAL TERRORISTS, the result is that a significant fraction of right wingers are more likely to hang up when they get called by pollsters.
Yep Baris called this the Shy Trumper effect.
Trump outperformed the polls vastly in nearly every state because the Dems made it not socially acceptable to announce you support him.
Republicans aren't the solution to your problems but Democrats are certainly the cause of your problems.
Now I lay me down to cry.
If you get up to 80-90% Republican in a given legislature, you can actually start squeaking meaningful legislation against leftism through. Less than that means you'll risk having enough moderate compassionate conservatives who choose to keep losing with dignity to gum up the machine.
Voting matters, because the elites need people to keep thinking they're not enslaved by a sophisticated system that exploits their natural stupidity.
Can we make a nitter rule?
Voting here in Florida, where I know there can't be fortificationing. Who knew Bush and Gore had a positive impact?
Is this the red wave I keep hearing about? Doesn't look overwhelming as a wave would, but I have limited knowledge on the US electoral system.
All you need to know is that both democrats and republicans work for israel, with some also moonlighting for China. Being a member of a secret society (i.e. freemasons) is required to hold any power, and they all rightly see the voting public as little more than cattle.
The Senate is harder because each election cycle, only 1/3 of the seats are up for election. And this time around Republicans have more seats to defend so they can't even pick up that many seats, but could possibly lose several. You add to that a bunch of weak candidates in places like GA, PA, and AZ and there won't be a red wave in the senate in even a best case scenario.
Don't be blackpilled...but also don't be whitepilled. Remain redpilled.
The Republican-favorable polls always seem to come out before the elections. Doesn't even matter if it's true or not, they'll trickle out more and more, to get the Dems motivated.
No blackpill. No whitepill. Vote.
In 2010, not only in both houses but Republicans won almost 1,000 seats nationwide and the national, state and local levels.
We have many of the same people working for Obama then that we have now, only the president has much less charm and charisma.