He correctly predicted Trump 2016 and all the major senate races in 2016.
His polls correctly predicted nearly every Senate race in 2020. He got Maine Senate and NC right when no one else other than Trafalgar polling did. Baris only got the Georgia runoffs wrong by a point.
Also his polls were off during Trump 2020 by a point in only WI, PA, AZ, GA. We know what type of fortification happened in those states in 2020.
The large majority of pollsters undercount the right wing voters, and this happened in a big way in 2016 and 2020. Hopefully this guy has a good method to account for the difference.
Baris is the best pollster in America.
He correctly predicted Trump 2016 and all the major senate races in 2016.
His polls correctly predicted nearly every Senate race in 2020. He got Maine Senate and NC right when no one else other than Trafalgar polling did. Baris only got the Georgia runoffs wrong by a point.
Also his polls were off during Trump 2020 by a point in only WI, PA, AZ, GA. We know what type of fortification happened in those states in 2020.
Baris's predictions are right way more than not.
The large majority of pollsters undercount the right wing voters, and this happened in a big way in 2016 and 2020. Hopefully this guy has a good method to account for the difference.
Baris knows how to account for the often missed right wing Rural voters.
His polls have been very close to the final result during 2016 and 2020.