3
fauxgnaws 3 points ago +3 / -0

That's why in Who Wants To Be A Millionaire if you're unsure you should always change your answer after the 50/50.

Your first choice is 1/4 chance to be right, but if the 50/50 eliminates two of the other choices the remaining one is 3/4 chance to be right.

/s

26
fauxgnaws 26 points ago +26 / -0

Even as a witness, say you're in the subway car and you're afraid for your life and you tell the police you said "somebody stop him!". Did you incite murder? Who knows.

It's a shame, but there's so many things that are technically illegal it's impossible to know if you're implicating yourself even if you're just a witness and not even involved.

We really need some repercussions for these out of control prosecutions. Juries or judges or somebody should be able to reach a verdict that the prosecutor be fired because the case is total bullshit.

0
fauxgnaws 0 points ago +1 / -1

Ok well in that phrasing of the problem you're right, the show has put the goat/car behind the doors ahead of time.

I don't know that's how it works on the Price Is Right or other actual game show. I would assume so, but they could set it up differently for the reasons I mentioned.

edit: although that still doesn't mean you should switch doors - that relies on the assumption that the host always opens another door (not stated in the problem) and didn't just offer you the choice (like "is that your final answer?" in Who Wants To Be A Millionaire) because he knows you picked the car.

You can see this in Savant's second follow-up article where she says "remembering that the original answer defines certain conditions, the most significant of which is that the host always opens a losing door on purpose". This is certainly not defined in the original question, which is entirely phrased about a single event and says nothing about "always". Instead of writing how she was right based on her assumptions, and they right with their assumptions, she's retconning the problem definition so only she's right.

0
fauxgnaws 0 points ago +1 / -1

You're saying your assumption is a fundamental rule... really? The insightful thing here is don't confuse assumptions with rules.

It's an entertainment show that's giving away free cars for advertisement. If they give contestants 50/50 they lower their prize payout, or if they give 2/3 odds maybe they get more audience investment. Maybe it's more work for them to keep giving out goats than cars because they have to train them to be calm on set. I have no idea how game shows prioritize these things.

52
fauxgnaws 52 points ago +52 / -0

This is why you don't talk to the police. He didn't know the guy had died, but they did.

They've got good cop and bad cop to manipulate him, they got him admitting he's a trained killer in the marines, that he never saw him actually touch anybody, they almost got him to admit it was a rear naked choke hold.

And this guy did absolutely nothing wrong except for this. The only thing he did wrong was not say "lawyer" and right away.

1
fauxgnaws 1 point ago +1 / -0

Also avoid Star Wars now, but sometimes bias makes you miss something good.

Like Andor season 1 was pretty good. A little slow, but reminiscent of the original three.

1
fauxgnaws 1 point ago +1 / -0

Tell that to Schrodinger's cat.

1
fauxgnaws 1 point ago +1 / -0

It's a game show. In what way does giving out free cars make sense other than as entertainment?

1
fauxgnaws 1 point ago +2 / -1

It doesn't have to be 'fake and gay'.

Typically in regulated gambling, like with slots, they tell you your odds of winning. Slot machine doesn't know what the roll will be before you roll it.

Same principle. The game show may give all contestants a 50/50 chance of winning regardless of what doors they pick.

-1
fauxgnaws -1 points ago +2 / -3

The odds only change if what's behind the doors are fixed ahead of time.

If the host chooses a door, the game show rolls 1 out of ndoors chance of car behind it, and then puts the car or goat behind it before opening it then the odds don't change at all even if the host didn't know.

Switching your choice is the classical hidden-information answer, staying with your first choice is the quantum changes when-observed answer.

1
fauxgnaws 1 point ago +2 / -1

Or that the car and goat are already behind a door. There may be nothing behind any of the doors until you choose; they're always wheeling stuff around behind the scenes in game shows.

The answer in the original Parade magazine column way back relied on assumptions not stated in the description, and the smart people coming up with the 'wrong' answer just had different assumptions.

The author of the column went by a pretentious "vos Savant" assumed name and lied about her credentials; she claimed to be in the Guinness Book as highest IQ, but was never the record holder at the time of publication and the one year she was listed was for a test taken when she was like 3 years old. The whole column was a sham.

-7
fauxgnaws -7 points ago +2 / -9

They didn't stop Gaetz from being in the House even though he's anti-zionist, he crowd funded his campaigns instead of taking banker money. They couldn't keep (((Eric Cantor))) as Majority Leader.

You're just furthering their agenda by saying they're oh so powerful.

-10
fauxgnaws -10 points ago +1 / -11

The exact same things were said before, but in German. Turned out in the end all those bankers and wealthy elite didn't have much say after all.

16
fauxgnaws 16 points ago +21 / -5

I think it's highly visible as more of a bogeyman - it's real power comes from everybody being afraid of them.

"Don't say anything bad about 'Israel' because AIPAC will come in the night and eat your babies". That fear keeps people talking in a whisper.

AIPAC is so visible to pounce on even the slightest dissent so it's never loud enough to start an avalanche, but the reality is that's not power that's weakness; they know we could cast them out at any time if we make enough noise and they're terrified of it.

edit: as if to prove the point, an 'oh no AIPAC so scary be very afwaid' comment with no response to major failures of theirs. This is their real power, getting the johnny's to insist they are oh so powerful. He doesn't even know he's part of their plan.

2
fauxgnaws 2 points ago +4 / -2

Ozempic lowers your weight while increasing the number of fat cells you have. You end up with more, smaller fat cells.

Which presumably will be screaming "feed me Seymour" whenever you stop taking it, because that's what fat cells do. Fat cells that lose fat tell the body "hey, running out fat here!".

Cannibalism about to skyrocket as people not able to afford more Ozempic eat the first thing they see.

6
fauxgnaws 6 points ago +6 / -0

They'll call him "Former President Trump", referring to his 45 term.

1
fauxgnaws 1 point ago +1 / -0

Were you considered on the right back then? Because that was certainly the impression lefties had of the right twenty years ago.

1
fauxgnaws 1 point ago +1 / -0

Did you ever play video games back in the day? 20 years ago those things you mentioned were common in voice and text chat.

I don't think the right is becoming more extreme, but reverting to the 'mean'.

Hopefully in both senses.

40
fauxgnaws 40 points ago +41 / -1

He says the proceeds from the auction will go to the 'victim' families who pledged it to The Onion to pay for their auction bid which wasn't the highest bid but chosen anyway.

So in other words because of transaction fees and whatnot the 'victims' are actually paying out of pocket to give Infowars to The Onion for free so they can harass Jones for years.

They're doing exactly what they say Alex did, only times ten. Truly evil people. I don't think even the Torah says to escalate that much.

7
fauxgnaws 7 points ago +7 / -0

Oh the trans are never good programmers, as famous as they get is for their 'identity'.

Programming doesn't care about what you believe or how you feel, only what is, so they have an uphill battle to put it mildly.

20
fauxgnaws 20 points ago +20 / -0

Apparently he can't discharge the debt in bankruptcy, so he's also in debtor's prison for ever or maybe there's a time limit I don't know.

His new company is in his father's name, but they'll sue that and say it's not really his father running it.

It's another case of liberals trying to outcompete everyone else on being morally reprehensible. I really think they don't know what is right and wrong anymore. They're like disoriented divers that die swimming down because they can't tell which way is up.

6
fauxgnaws 6 points ago +6 / -0

From 3 minutes in, he keeps trashing Democrats and saying "we need to this and that".

Or maybe why are you still a "we" and not a "we the people". Just get aboard the Trump train for God's sake.

edit: every remotely famous female computer programmer is trans.

7
fauxgnaws 7 points ago +7 / -0

They're too busy sending Senators copies of all the kompromat they have on them to make sure she never gets confirmed.

14
fauxgnaws 14 points ago +14 / -0

If Gaetz' DoJ will actually prosecute the cheaters then we'll have a lot more Gaetzes elected.

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