I only saw this now. I would have told you Ohio wasn't close. I will tell you that the Left was radical in Ohio, but their numbers are just too small. It's probably gonna end up +11.
Moreno is probably gonna win too, which is great because Vance was a MAGA senator, and now Moreno will also be a MAGA senator, rather than some worthless DeWine pick.
Not really. The middle managerial elite have no objection to your daughter getting raped so that they can call themselves good people and keep their government jobs. Trump is basically telling them their careers are over, so whatever he gains with normal people, he looses badly with the bureaucratic class.
The Greeks lost one of the most advanced pieces of technology in their civilization.
The Romans stopped using their version of concrete because it was more expensive and labor intensive. Again, a specialty technology.
What you're suggesting is forgetting how to build a carriage. Even in a full scale civilizational collapse; some stuff is so useful they are immediately adopted by the new civilization. Like firearms, roads, saddles, etc.
And we're nothing close to a full scale civilizational collapse. Not even remotely.
I mentioned that elsewhere. He seems to be winning 30% of both the overall jewish and arab-muslim votes.
Richard Barris made an interesting suggestion that Arabs might be under the impression that the Abraham Accords were a big net positive, and that if they assume a genocide is taking place, Trump would actually be the one to bring out peace. That argument tends to make sense.
I have long since said: "Thank god our enemies our so stupid, or we'd all already be dead."
I'm not going to just say that it's a guarantee, but Loudon County, VA: Trump is up +2 from where he was in 2016, and almost +5 from from where he was in 2020.
This means that there is a big red push in VA. Even in blue counties.
Florida is fucking gone. It's not close. He's within 10,000 votes in just Palm Beach.
I'm not gonna say there's a red wave... but if it happens, don't be surprised.
E1: Duval County in Florida swung hard to Trump. That suggests a big College White move towards Trump. It's in Florida, so maybe that's a state-wide move for the state overall, but it could also be another good indicator.
E2: Wayne County's early vote went to Trump... Gents, that's Detroit. Now, Harris will win the county eventually... but that's a huge indicator of the Trump support in Michigan.
E3: People's Pundit is declaring NC to Trump. I suspected it would be the case, but it's an important win.
E4: The Hill and Decision Desk called Virginia for Harris... but at this moment VA is 49.3% Trump, 49% Harris... Uh. Y'all sure that isn't too close to call?
E5: VA might still be Harris (which tells you how bad she actually preformed), but Trump appears to have won Hispanics in MI 60-35. Read that again.
E6: Well, we have our answer gentlemen. It looks like a pretty strong win. He won back College Educated Whites, he won a bunch of Blacks, and he won a bunch of Hispanics. If we're lucky, in a few days, we'll see a sweep. There appears to be a red tide at my feet. Granted it's not 3:00 AM yet, but I don't think it matters. Too big to rig.
I got a little burned last time because I wildly over-estimated how many white voters would go for Trump. He maxed out. I also mistook that Dem ballots would be dissuaded by riots to vote Dem, but instead voted more blue.
However, I actually think that Trump is probably going to win WI, NC, GA, PA, MA and possibly a surprise out of one or two of these: NH, VA, MN, ME.
Biggest surprise of the night is that NV or AZ will be declared tonight.
I think we hold the House, win the Senate, and I think Kari Lake might even make it in.
Trump probably wins over 300 electoral votes. I'm about 75% confident. I think he wins the popular vote, and I think we know the outcome tonight.
Oh, and on one specific note since it was doubted: Orthodox jews in NYC go more than 80% for Trump.
The UK is next door and has let the mass, systemic, institutionally supported rape of children for 30 years. The Irish better wake up to the rape culture that their government is importing and directing at their children.
The Sunnis didn't vote in the 2004 election in Iraq because they claimed that it wasn't a legitimate government or a legitimate election.
As a result, they were entirely kept out of power for the next four years and only had the single option of insurrection. As result, they were destroyed with sectarian violence, including by AQI who didn't give them power back once they took control. It killed somewhere around 500,000 people.
After the Sunni Awakening movement, they were brought back into the government. They had a minority position, but they could stop the worst excesses of the Shia regime.
Then, after an admittedly fraudulent & contested election, instead of responding with level heads, they went back to fighting, and still didn't ally with the Kurds as part of a coalition. This time, they worked with ISIS and were raped & slaughtered to death by ISIS instead of AQI (those are the same people, by the way). They lost their insurgency again, and a few more hundred thousand people were dead.
At every step they kept convincing themselves that an electoral system would never produce change and all it's done is kill themselves and solidify the power of Iran in the country. They had to make the same mistake twice, and kill hordes of their family to learn to use power effectively, even in a corrupt system.
If they had stayed in the government, they could have continued blocking aggression from the Iranians and the Shia, even if they couldn't have seized the government due to fraud and corruption.
Don't be like the Shia.
Every bit of data we have suggests that the culture is pushing rightwards by the youth, not just in America but across the world, as they are rebelling against a woke establishment. When it comes to video games, I may be bankrupted by the government to bail out banks, airlines, car manufacturers, pensions, and the welfare state; but no Bethesda. Fundamentally, the game industry will always be allowed to collapse because it's a less connected entertainment industry than the WNBA, and the audience is probably more rightward than other mediums at this point.
We are winning the long war. Eventually, we need to win the long march too.
There is a 2nd aspect to this.
Jim Cramer is warning that the financial markets will try to spike the economy to unseat Trump from power like they did with Liz Truss in Britain. And to be clear, her economic plan was simply to increase growth by cutting taxes a small percent, while using spending to try and stimulate further growth, and catch up to the debt from that in a year or so. But, even though this is basic Keynsian economics, and the BoE prefers open Communism, they decided to overthrow her.
As a result, the Bank of England lied to her, the budget office lied to her, the budget office released a false report with incorrect figures and expectations of how the budget would preform, and then the BoE sold their (bonds) to shock the market and generate political capital to remove her and install Sunak.
Now that the Labour Party's budget has come out, the spending and debt bomb is significantly worse than anything Liz Truss suggested, and the Bank of England hasn't said a peep.
The good news with this is that JD Vance has publicly stated that they are keeping an eye out for this, and Liz Truss has been publicly railing against the bureaucratic & financial state about this explicit coup, so there seems to be some awareness of this threat.
It's no problem. I'm very used to (and absolutely hate) the "momentary anarcho-capitalism" of these Leftist pundits, Koch Brothers Libertrolls, and media shitholes.
- Open borders are necessary for economic growth, but don't put migrants in my gated community. Also, the lockdowns never caused any economic damage.
- The corporate tax rate is too high! But we should increase the tax rate for small businesses and sole proprietorships past 40%.
- Twitter is a private company it can do whatever it wants you don't have any freeze peach rights there, but if Elon Musk doesn't continue the practice of including FBI and CIA being directly involved in content moderation and training content moderators then we need to shut him down for allowing "misinformation".
- Oh, the people of North Carolina want disaster relief that they explicitly requested and have already arranged with the federal government via laws? Sorry, kill yourself, disaster relief isn't insurance it's Socialism.
- Healthcare is a universal human right, but we can deny you the right to be treated for gunshot wounds if your covid shots aren't up to date.
I didn't say technology wouldn't get lost, but even with the fall of whole civilizations, it is rare to see a destruction of infrastructure that would prevent connectedness without it's intentional destruction like the Invasion of the Sea Peoples, or the fall of the Assyrian Empire.
Like always, the cities are bad. But she's not as smart as Obama where she wins 17 out of 88 counties and takes the state. In fact, she's only got 7. Trump already won more votes than Barack Obama, and this isn't a state with a major population growth.