Nah I think enough missiles, tank shells and mines should stop it, given China boasts the 'largest Navy with the most ships' and they include rowing boats in that while a submarine they made recently sunk in a river, another got caught in THEIR OWN anti submarine nets and their 'advanced tech' is because they skip the number 4.
America should be making semiconductors in the US, but also having a few F22s stationed near Taiwan should deter an attempt till then.
Its a China thing too, probably a bigger thing in China.
In Australia Ive been to several new apartment buildings which don't list a 4th floor because the Chinese owners didn't want them.
Mostly posting this because I saw it on AskTD on Reddit, but anyway, the point is that half or more of the world’s semiconductors are produced in Taiwan, and mainland China annexing Taiwan will be disastrous for the tech industry.
Supposedly regulations, bribery and cost of labor is why semiconductors aren’t produced here, but what exactly are said regulations, because every time people mention this, no one ever posts them.
There is no way that Taiwan (or the US) would just hand over TSMC intact to the Chinese. With SMIC stuck on 14nm, with 7nm and 5nm in development hell, the EUVL machines at TSMC would be the real goal in an invasion. No way those would remain functional even if China did take the fabs. And its not like China could then go to ASML and ask for spares or replacements.
Just a guess but I bet the regulations they're talking about are probably related to mining necessary elements for semiconductor production. Antimony, cobalt, coltan (columbite-tantalite), and more are all used and require mining operations that can (if not done properly without proper mitigation and safety) produce toxic byproducts and runoff into the environment.
I don't really trust "American" (increasingly not actually) corporations to do it, but it's immaterial since they are mostly banned from mining at all.
The fabrication plants would require some billions but the real reason it never happens is that it would cost some politicians and corporate execs profits in the near term as supply chains were figured out to shift it back to American production.
They do produce semiconductors here. The main reason Taiwan is kicking so much ass is because TSMC invested in its foundry business and Intel did not. And intel like a decades behind, and you can’t fix a company with that sort of engineering/business-culture bankruptcy overnight.
They've been threatening this for a pathetically long amount of time now and the fact that they haven't yet really makes it seem like this is entirely meant to be like Kim Jong threatening to nuke everyone, attention seeking nonsense while prostrating as tough in front of your sycophants.
they have lots of young men with no prospects if ccp do not channel their focus outwards eventually the young men will go after the ccp like the ccp did to the kuomintang.
those fuckers traded one yoke for an even heavier yoke, and when things get bad and the money printer burns out, either the people or the party is going into the grinder, and the party will decide for the people.
For the people who aren’t aware, China did repeal the One Child Policy, but most of the children aborted, abandoned or killed during the period the One Child Policy were the daughters.
So there’s generations of Chinese people where the male/female ratio is absolutely fucked.
And the current generation of workers is aging out of the workforce and China will soon be unable to support its own population because the next generation of workers will be much smaller than the elderly.
They'll do like the gulf states do. Say Come work for us and then take their passports and work them to death while importing new people who vague promises to just also work them to death.
The thing I think that nobody ever mentions when articles like this come out is, of course he said that. He has to say that. His own party would eat him alive if he didn't say it.
It doesn't really have a ton of bearing on the immediate situation. That's been their position from 1949, and it will continue to be their position for the foreseeable future.
Just because he said this (again) doesn't make it more likely in the immediate future, or something.
Xi says a lot of things, all of them necessary to save face, he probably believes less than half them and even less are actually true.
It's a state built on lying to literally everyone outside the ruling political party, pretending to take anything they say at face value is just further political theatre.
They just need to explain to pooh bear that there's a MK-3 Tsar Bomba-type thermonuclear bomb buried somewhere in Beijing and that any attempt at invasion and it goes KABOOOM!
They had a chance immediately after the Afghan debacle when the US was at it's absolute weakest in centuries, but they didn't exploit the opportunity under Biden. It shows a real failure to take opportunities on their part. They should have invaded Taiwan in 2022. That time is quickly passing and the window is now basically closed.
Nah I think enough missiles, tank shells and mines should stop it, given China boasts the 'largest Navy with the most ships' and they include rowing boats in that while a submarine they made recently sunk in a river, another got caught in THEIR OWN anti submarine nets and their 'advanced tech' is because they skip the number 4.
America should be making semiconductors in the US, but also having a few F22s stationed near Taiwan should deter an attempt till then.
I thought "four is death" was a Japan thing. Other than that, yes.
Its a China thing too, probably a bigger thing in China. In Australia Ive been to several new apartment buildings which don't list a 4th floor because the Chinese owners didn't want them.
Another example of just how fucked Australia is.
Did not know that. Neat.
4 is death also in Chinese. Chinese will not buy houses with 4 in their addresses.
Yep and that carried over into their military so that's why they have '5th and 6th' gen aircraft.
So advanced they'd get bodied by the more than 20 year old F22 in seconds without ever seeing them on radar.
Mostly posting this because I saw it on AskTD on Reddit, but anyway, the point is that half or more of the world’s semiconductors are produced in Taiwan, and mainland China annexing Taiwan will be disastrous for the tech industry.
Supposedly regulations, bribery and cost of labor is why semiconductors aren’t produced here, but what exactly are said regulations, because every time people mention this, no one ever posts them.
There is no way that Taiwan (or the US) would just hand over TSMC intact to the Chinese. With SMIC stuck on 14nm, with 7nm and 5nm in development hell, the EUVL machines at TSMC would be the real goal in an invasion. No way those would remain functional even if China did take the fabs. And its not like China could then go to ASML and ask for spares or replacements.
Just a guess but I bet the regulations they're talking about are probably related to mining necessary elements for semiconductor production. Antimony, cobalt, coltan (columbite-tantalite), and more are all used and require mining operations that can (if not done properly without proper mitigation and safety) produce toxic byproducts and runoff into the environment.
I don't really trust "American" (increasingly not actually) corporations to do it, but it's immaterial since they are mostly banned from mining at all.
The fabrication plants would require some billions but the real reason it never happens is that it would cost some politicians and corporate execs profits in the near term as supply chains were figured out to shift it back to American production.
They do produce semiconductors here. The main reason Taiwan is kicking so much ass is because TSMC invested in its foundry business and Intel did not. And intel like a decades behind, and you can’t fix a company with that sort of engineering/business-culture bankruptcy overnight.
They've been threatening this for a pathetically long amount of time now and the fact that they haven't yet really makes it seem like this is entirely meant to be like Kim Jong threatening to nuke everyone, attention seeking nonsense while prostrating as tough in front of your sycophants.
they have lots of young men with no prospects if ccp do not channel their focus outwards eventually the young men will go after the ccp like the ccp did to the kuomintang.
They literally have a term for rich children of the ccp members, it's called "princelings"
those fuckers traded one yoke for an even heavier yoke, and when things get bad and the money printer burns out, either the people or the party is going into the grinder, and the party will decide for the people.
For the people who aren’t aware, China did repeal the One Child Policy, but most of the children aborted, abandoned or killed during the period the One Child Policy were the daughters.
So there’s generations of Chinese people where the male/female ratio is absolutely fucked.
And the current generation of workers is aging out of the workforce and China will soon be unable to support its own population because the next generation of workers will be much smaller than the elderly.
So the CCP is going to start importing a billion wetbacks & jeets as well?
They'll do like the gulf states do. Say Come work for us and then take their passports and work them to death while importing new people who vague promises to just also work them to death.
The thing I think that nobody ever mentions when articles like this come out is, of course he said that. He has to say that. His own party would eat him alive if he didn't say it.
It doesn't really have a ton of bearing on the immediate situation. That's been their position from 1949, and it will continue to be their position for the foreseeable future.
Just because he said this (again) doesn't make it more likely in the immediate future, or something.
Xi says a lot of things, all of them necessary to save face, he probably believes less than half them and even less are actually true.
It's a state built on lying to literally everyone outside the ruling political party, pretending to take anything they say at face value is just further political theatre.
i'd rather see taiwan reconquista mainland china from the illegitimate communist scum and their pet bugmen.
They just need to explain to pooh bear that there's a MK-3 Tsar Bomba-type thermonuclear bomb buried somewhere in Beijing and that any attempt at invasion and it goes KABOOOM!
That'll get the smog-belching bugmen to shut up.
They had a chance immediately after the Afghan debacle when the US was at it's absolute weakest in centuries, but they didn't exploit the opportunity under Biden. It shows a real failure to take opportunities on their part. They should have invaded Taiwan in 2022. That time is quickly passing and the window is now basically closed.