It's gonna be another "Ok, you guys have worked hard enough for today. Go home and we'll finish counting."
Our boy Larry The Egged is going to come out of the gate real strong, but somewhere between the hours of 10PM and 4AM PST, statistically impossible but miraculous discontinuities will manifest in Tupac Fanboi's tally.
If anyone manages to get a hold of the data, we'll be treated to a lovely side of Benford's Law irregularities so massive that they'll put Iran and North Korea to shame.
Anyone have any white pills for me?
Take it from someone who was an occupying force in a foreign country battling an insurgency with foregin support, and attempting to prop-up a government with no legitimacy.
Losing the election is still a white pill if you do it right. Let them fraud. If I were the Republicans, my number one priority would not to be to win the recall, but to document criminal misconduct and start putting people in jail.
They've been making a lot of very stupid mistakes. Your number one priority is to increase government de-legitimacy so that people become comfortable and normalized to entirely ignoring them. You must normalize defiance.
Catch a few voting fraudsters in the act, have them arrested and convicted with some friendly judges. Even if it gets overturned, you need the evidence to be out in the open to prove how illegitimate the government is.
You can't establish government legitimacy at the point of a gun. Personal experience. All it takes is for someone to look down the barrel of your gun, know that you won't shoot them, and say "fuck you, do whatever." You can't force people into accepting you as legitimate. Even terror as legitimacy has diminishing returns.
The primary objective right now is to intentionally promote, not fear or anger, but open disrespect and defiance of the establishment. Humor is extremely dangerous, but apathy is the worst to a tyranny. Promoting the criminality and incompetence of the establishment and de-legitimizing them is effectively a soft-coup that they are unlikely to recover from. Worse, the authoritarian response will be to double down (as we've seen with Biden's vax mandates) which will only promote more animosity and more deligimitization as normal.
Every. Single. Step. that promotes seperation and the building of anti-parallel institutions is a victory. Do not fight for possessed institutions, let them die, and build over or through them. If you accidentally seize them, purge them of Leftists. But, the death of those institutions starts with delegitimization.
The biggest reason many troop commanders on the ground in Iraq and Afghanistan were concerned about civilian casualties is because it could instantaneously reverse legitimacy for whole regions that had taken years to build up. You're only a bridge builder when you've built 100 bridges. But you suck one cock and suddenly your a cocksucker. You kill one baby, and suddenly you're a baby killer.
That must be the primary avenue of attack: immediate delegitimazation, followed by defiance, followed by civil disobedience; all while we build anti-parallel institutions to prepare for the retaliation, which only feeds the delegitimization narrative.
People need to be conditioned to respond with "Eat shit and die" when Biden/Newsom says "Show some respect".
Beyond that, capturing military and police forces is a seriously missing strategy on the right. Every right wing government should be doing everything in it's power to steal cops from Leftist governments and forcibly expand the jurisdiction of your policing forces (the way that Trump deputized the Portland Police, but more aggressive). They State governments should start expanding their state militias or PMC's within their state jurisdictions to embrace disaffected military personnel. (Just be careful not to make it too obvious).
There won't be a war, there will be a cascade failure. A total collapse of the world order is coming and nobody is going to stop it.
Makes you wonder if the astronomical civilian casualties of Obama's drone strikes were all that accidental after all.
Put it like this:
When autists on Reddit bought shitloads of Gamestop stocks, the government cared, broke the law, then changed the law, then blackmailed a company into violating it's own contracts with it's consumers. They did it within 24-72 hours.
When the stock-market shuttered in 2020 after Covid started scaring the shit out of governments internationally, the largest investment banks on Earth got over 3 trillion dollars in loans. Again, less than a week. No congressional over-sight. Not even a directive from Trump.
How long did it take you to get a "stimulus check"?
How long did it take for Obama to stop blasting kids?
If the government didn't respond, then it didn't fucking care.
Amen reverend.
That's pretty much my opinion as well. Running a super comes game where one slip up means you lose, just means you are going to lose. Trying to force it, makes it obvious you're weak.
Recent fuckups by biden will mobilize a lot of additional participation, but CA is a leftist shithole to maximum proportion. There might not even be enough opposition voters living there to counter the sheer quantity of idiots in that state.
And before all of this, you must remember that Newsom is Nancy Pelosi’s nephew. You’re talking about vegas odds in a rigged casino.
It would white pill the fuck out of the USA though if it went red. Its been a long time.
I had no idea about the nephew thing, so that's prolly my "learn something" moment for the day - thanks for that. Although more of a black pill at least things make a bit more sense now.
Woah. Yeah thats a critical fact that rarely gets mentioned. Am I surprised that they don’t? Thats like saying my uncle was Charles Manson on a first date.
Newsom just looks and acts like a sociopath maniac with a bad coke habit. Is it just me? I mean the guy looks like Christian Bale in American Psycho. I keep expecting him to expound on the virtues of Huey Lewis and the News.
Dude's hair is too perfect and his teeth are too white. Im not even sure he is human
He technically no longer is - that relationship was by marriage. They're still gonna cheat regardless.
Thats how American royalty is done. It actually runs quite deep and isn’t just a casual association. Check this out if you’re interested — https://miningawareness.wordpress.com/2021/08/21/the-four-families-of-california-newsom-browns-pelosis-and-gettys/
Local news is expecting 60% to vote no on the recall so I don't think that's gonna happen. It'll be immediately obvious that Newsom isn't going to be recalled.
They believe it's not even going to be close because since the last recall, Democrats have enrolled 4 million additional voters, compared to 20,000 for Republicans. Of course this ignores independents and Democrats who don't regurgitate opinions from Twitter and tv.
Well they've fortified things now to prevent that from happening again...
I know I'm smoking copium here but humor me for a minute: national news was predicting a landslide for Shillary back in `16, no? Don't they always have to say they're gonna win?
As a San Diegan, I am quietly crossing my fingers and hoping for this.
With so much fear and distortion in the air, though, it's hard to really know, my only real point of optimism is the enthusiasm gap that polling showed a month ago when I think they were more trustworthy. What sucks about games being played with elections is that what's supposed to be conventional election wisdom has to be thrown out of the window because of Dumb Bullshit that Breaks the Rules.
We shall see.
I'm worried about insta lockdowns the second this recall goes by.
That said, I'm just not gonna participate. The cops don't want to enforce it either. Businesses will stay open and the ones that don't, lol enjoy no business anymore.
That doesnt really matter as much as you might think considering that Newsom has managed to piss off Dems to both his Left and his Right. More "conservative" Dems for being a hypocritical tyrant, and Left-Wingers for not being Left-Wing enough.
Another thing that would be worth pointing out is that the conservatives and populist in California have taken a "Two can play at that game" attitude toward things like ballet harvesting, and already used it to win back seats in 2020 that they lost in 2018. Now of course, the media and Dems (but I repeat myself) have been trying to spin it as "So they tried to stop this practice, but now you are using it? Hypocrites!" Because their too smooth brain to understand that most conservatives and populist outside of the Federal positions can see their bullshit. Because they made it political total war and a knife fight, and now they are shocked that the opposition are treating it like a knife fight. And are seemingly better at it in more local areas.
But before anyone says I am huffing copium, I will just say that I am expecting the worst, but hoping for the best. And all I can hope is that people sick of it all, especially Biden, decide they are going to give him the finger by dragging Newsom out to send a message.
I live in California and see a ton of "vote No on the recall" signs, more than the pro-recall signs, by about 3-1. Mostly in front of the houses of old, upper-middle class people.
Because putting a pro-recall sign up is most likely going to result in vandalism on your property.
Remember how leftists think and act.
Paid for by George Soros, no doubt.
I guess I cant really argue with that, after all I live in America (Kansas) and not the United Socialist State of California. The only window I have in is stuff from Dave Rubin, so all I can do is pray for the Hail Mary.
The local news is full of shit and has been for decades. I remember in 2016 my local news station trying to run a story about how people were lining up for blocks to go to a Hillary Clinton rally. I immediately got into my car to drive by and it was barely 100 people, if that.
I think it's shocking to them how little effect Obama actually has on rallying the troops.
That seems like a weird path to take since the evidence/polls I saw says that Hispanics are very negative on Newsom compared to other demographics.
There is fracturing with the CA Dems. The recall wouldn't have gotten this far otherwise. Radical progressives that just got in are doing an obviously bad job, which is getting hard push back from the establishment wing. It's this lack of unity that creates the possibility of Newsom losing, and the radical progressives are too incompetent to capitalize on the opportunity themselves.
I was thinking exactly the same today. On election day Larry's numbers will be unfeasibly insurmountable (remember PA on election night?). However, as more of the mail-in ballots that will keep coming for days after 9/14 are counted a miracle of democracy will occur and Newsom will get ahead just enough. Remember that our elections now are based on ballot production speed. Every vote must be counted.
When are the results?
Vote happens on Tuesday, so preliminary results will be that evening.
Take her to... DETROIT!