Always have to mention my Weimar Germany professor who downplayed communist violence and told us that if she were in the position to give the chancellorship, she’d give it to the communists rather than the winning Nazis or the centrist party that got 2nd
.... I don't even see a punch being thrown, just pushing and jostling. There's no fires, no thrown projectiles, and they're calling this a devastating riot. This is equivalent to a bunch of people breaking into a oil baron's house and throwing a house party. What BLM did was assault, murder, and arson on a wide scale across the country in over a dozen cities
Reminds me of the Antifa protesters who put on Patches and bands that said "Press" on them, assaulted police officers, and then went on twitter to cry "They're attacking the press" when they got pepper sprayed and arrested for committing a crime.
Stock Market boom and wall construction, followed by what I would consider the worst feet-dragging by Congress and foreign actors against a president in my lifetime. Virus, baseless """scandal""" resulting in a impeachment, followed by one of the worst fraud jobs in recent American history, with his successor promising to practically erase the entirety of his policy in the first 100 days. I think the question is flawed in the sense of, if he won, it could mean that he went to court, overturned the election based off of the mountains of evidence, and those responsible were jailed, meaning he at least did something to fight and detract corruption. If he didn't do that, then he wouldn't win.
The funny thing is that even though this question is practically impossible (i.e. the paradox of the heap as it's absurd to really say .00000015% is fine but .00000014% isn't), statistics is one of the few times that the experts just say "pick a significance level that makes sense" which are usually 5%, 1%, .1% or .01%. Of course, this should take into account out of total runs and not just the one in question, and it's highly suspect that this isn't really possible anymore because dream went back and destroyed records of his past attempt, I believe.
Big if true. As a HS player it tells me a few things. Firstly, American exceptionalism is true, because even with a huge tournament every year that filters out MILLIONS of Chinese players they couldn’t win a single game vs an American community college student (Firebat) in the first world champs and it took 6 years and corruption for them to win one world championship. It’s also kinda sad because VKLiooon (Chinese player that won the world championship) was by far the best female pro HS player and her biggest accomplishment is now a sham. Seriously, the next best one I can think of is Pathra, and her accomplishment is that she’s a good content creator, got into the pro league and had to immediately leave after going 2-14 or something like that.
One odd thing I've been listening to go to sleep is one called Cracking The Cryptic: it's two British guys (former puzzle champions, I believe) where all they do is feature a special sudoku or crossword puzzle and explain their logic as they make their way through it on their own first impression. Another is Nizzahon Magic. I don't play Magic the Gathering, but I know how it's played and he makes top 10 videos that use an objective measurement to talk about the most sucessful MTG cards that meet a certain requirement and he talks a little bit about the meta and cards that made it succeed.
How young can you be when you go to college?
Well, technically I was in college when I was 14 or 15 due to dual enrollment in high school. And I had a classmate that was 1 year younger than that due to skipping a grade. It's not unheard of 12- or 13-year-old math savants going to college. Nonetheless, the solution is slapping a 18+ warning on the book/course catalog, not shutting down an entire school, if anything. Even in conservative southern states, schools give sex ed at a young age, which shows you a pic of dick/balls/pussy/boobs, so they're not scarring anyone.
It took me until taking a non-required college course for my econ degree to learn that there is a large increase in suicide/drug/alcohol-related deaths called "deaths of despair" that started in the 90's and has gotten worse. It specifically hits middle-aged white men, especially those who are uneducated and live in rural areas (read: conservatives). From wikipedia: "It gained media attention because of its connection to the opioid epidemic." (i.e. they only started paying attention when it started to hit minorities so that they could cry racism). It almost seems intentional that policy makers have enforced inefficient COVID tactics that enforce social isolation and a breakdown of tradition (hint: these help induce mental breaks). It's like we're living in a communist psyop. Edit: About 300,000 deaths have been said to have been caused by COVID, although it's been noted that these statistics are almost certainly overestimates given they're based on reports from hospitals who are financially incentivized to call every death in their hospital a COVID death. Deaths of despair this year are expected to increase by about 100,000, and given that these are mostly middle-aged victims, I'm certain more years of life are lost from just the INCREASE of suicides this year than from COVID.
The animal crossing community is the epitome of rich assholes praising "allyship" and open-mindedness while being as closed-minded and toxic to anyone as soon as they give any pushback to their ideas or demands. The mindset is present throughout the game, because it gives the player tons of options on how to express their avatar, but also allows you to kick out the villagers in your town/island through harassment and change everything about their clothing and housing through social manipulation.
It's not necessarily conspiracy. I've known people who are so maligned and amoral that they'd cheat on a small scale without telling anyone. In fact, volunteer positions to count votes would naturally attract these type of people, and so a network isn't necessary, just a smattering of individuals who like to abuse any authority they can get their hands on taking on any amount of responsibility on a local scale, done nationwide by hundreds or thousands. Then as it gets higher in scale we see the media oligarchs sway the narrative to discredit it happening at this large scale. Remember the slight narrative shift of "fraud doesn't happen" to "WIDESPREAD fraud doesn't happen"?
Textbooks will talk about it being a Trump administration failure that Biden magic wanded away (even though there will be almost no difference in COVID policy) which they'll use some weird unconventional logic to explain (or won't explain at all) similar to some bullshit like "drastic improvements under the Biden administration" which is vague and non-specific. Then, all the "uptight parents" and "crotchety old men" will rightfully tell their kids that it was a Kafka trap of xenophobia/incompetence that the media to set up to make Trump always the bad guy in a situation that he had no fault in starting and a minority of direct power in fixing.
There's a lot of mathematics about the false positive paradox. I don't know what the exact false positive rate for filling out a form is, but if a person misfills a ballot in 1 out of 45,000 occurences or more often, this is considered statistically significant at the .95 level (5% or less). At the .90 percent level it's up to 1 in 56,000
Remember when a few thousand votes came in overnight from Michigan, and they were ALL for Biden? It's so statistically unlikely that even if all the votes were meant to be for Biden it's more likely that a voter circled the wrong bubble or a counter accidentally counted one ballot incorrectly (i.e. false positive) and Trump would've gotten a vote that way.
Fraud should be thought of as a given in this election, what should be argued or figured out is the scope of the fraud, and by whom. Personally, the methodology around vote counting is unclear, and I'm considering the possibilities that my in-person vote on election day in Michigan was counted or not. After all, it's possible that because my voting station made me use a marker instead of a pen on the ballot it wasn't counted, or that an asshat like the one shown above just trashed it.
"Polls don't have an algorithm for racism" Hey dipshit. If you're a statistician, and you claim that something (racism) is near-universal and incredibly influential and yet you can't find any way to qualify or measure it, you're a fraud.
The (almost) top reply is the stonetoss meme of "cancel culture has gone too far" and in a brazen act of idiocy someone replies to that saying they shouldn't have posted it because "he's a nazi", as if to say "What a hypocrite Stevo is for not realizing that banning hate speech is a slippery slope that leads to reasonable things to be taken out of context to be banned, but don't you dare amplify someone's voice because sometimes he says hate speech!"
What an asinine idea. If someone goes into their chat and spams the n-word, can they not stop that? Twitch might be able to because their the private company, but what if Twitch says "nah"? Seems insane. It's like not being able to piss in public unless it's on a politician's tailored pants.
You’re assuming that they aren’t already? Look at Seattle. If you’re implying ALL cities, most likely, except for those in hyper-conservative states.