This is one of the reasons I fear a major Chinese civil war is possible.
Tons of disaffected and unemployed Chinese youth, combined with a catastrophic demographic collapse (worse population growth rate than Japan, as bad as Mao's Famine), a completely insane steel and lithium industry that is divorced from reality, and is being propped up by western investment or insane make-work projects, and so on and so forth.
It really looks like there's a good chance the Chinese government could actually collapse from economic pressure, if we weren't desperately trying to remove those pressures and make them look bigger/stronger than they actually are. If the communists do collapse, I'm not sure that China will hold together, and given the history of China, I think we could be looking at a real possibility of a civil war that kills 100 million people, and potentially even spans the globe.
A Chinese civil war would be amazing, not the least reason of which would be that it would show that fighting against a totalitarian technologically powered surveillance state is possible.
It's more likely that within the next 10 years China will fracture due to demographic collapse, though.
lol there's not going to be civil war, an economic collapse maybe. modern Chinese youths are like western counterparts, physically weak and politically uninspired, their form of resistance is called "lie down", basically being passive aggressive non productive members of the society living off their parents' pensions or doing bare minimum part time jobs that pay for their basic survival needs and gacha games. nobody's going to pick up the pitch forks and storm their local landlords. the passion for revolution backed by foreign military supplies just aren't there.
You say there won't be a civil war then you describe a mythical "revolution of the people" which isn't what was suggested. The civil war would be elites vs. other elites, using disaffected youth as pawns wherever possible. The major moves would be fractures in the bureaucracy, and attempts to control breakaway PLA groups.
This is one of the reasons I fear a major Chinese civil war is possible.
Tons of disaffected and unemployed Chinese youth, combined with a catastrophic demographic collapse (worse population growth rate than Japan, as bad as Mao's Famine), a completely insane steel and lithium industry that is divorced from reality, and is being propped up by western investment or insane make-work projects, and so on and so forth.
It really looks like there's a good chance the Chinese government could actually collapse from economic pressure, if we weren't desperately trying to remove those pressures and make them look bigger/stronger than they actually are. If the communists do collapse, I'm not sure that China will hold together, and given the history of China, I think we could be looking at a real possibility of a civil war that kills 100 million people, and potentially even spans the globe.
A Chinese civil war would be amazing, not the least reason of which would be that it would show that fighting against a totalitarian technologically powered surveillance state is possible.
It's more likely that within the next 10 years China will fracture due to demographic collapse, though.
that's the best hope we have.
lol there's not going to be civil war, an economic collapse maybe. modern Chinese youths are like western counterparts, physically weak and politically uninspired, their form of resistance is called "lie down", basically being passive aggressive non productive members of the society living off their parents' pensions or doing bare minimum part time jobs that pay for their basic survival needs and gacha games. nobody's going to pick up the pitch forks and storm their local landlords. the passion for revolution backed by foreign military supplies just aren't there.
You say there won't be a civil war then you describe a mythical "revolution of the people" which isn't what was suggested. The civil war would be elites vs. other elites, using disaffected youth as pawns wherever possible. The major moves would be fractures in the bureaucracy, and attempts to control breakaway PLA groups.
And the disaffected youths won't be part of the violent conflicts, they have similar attitude to "let the zogs fight, just leave my waifus alone"
Tell that to the Ukrainian and Russian.
I think that Xi has been fairly effective in purging the disloyal from the ranks of the Chinese government and CCP.
Which is interesting because people in the West say the same thing, hell I've read suggestions of doing such right here on this board.
A friend from China told me once, "how could we rule the world? We're all poor!"
I'll ask one of the crazy, shit covered, hobos in San Francisco why he controls so many carriers.
That's the insane part, it's not rh people it's the people controlling the people that we end up hating.
Yup. That's why I've insisted on saying the following premises:
Most peaceful Chinese civil war.