I'd agree with alot of your sentiments but there are a few things you're forgetting.
China's debt to GDP is 280%, which is why companies like tencent are looking for outside investment but since the global economy is going debt wise as well, their investments and currency are going to be hit by inflation. When that happens, the physical assets they have will be worth a whole lot more. Which also brings up what happens to assets in foreign countries if they can't protect those from a starving local populace.
Russia's in a weird place. They're still seeking to influence their neighbors and such but Putin is 68 which I know is a decade behind Biden but there were rumors of him having Parkinson's last year, this rumor could be spread by America as it was mostly reported only on western outlets but he is getting up there in age and as a result, his successor will have to fight off contenders that are probably backed by the west to gain control of Russia. Russia still has alot of untapped natural resources that globalists would love to import the 3rd world to exploit. I foresee internal conflict rather than expansion in the future, Navalny was just the first casualty of challenging Putin.
Taiwan is even more fiercely independent than ever. Their first female PM, yes I know don't tell Impossible1, was re-elected in 2020 and on both her inauguration addresses stated that they would never be "one country, two system", because one only needs to look at Hong Kong to see how well that turns out. As a result, they upped their Defense spending to 8% of GDP and have been constructing native Defense industries with attention to ship building and aircraft manufacturing so they don't have to rely on US imports and support. They've been doing this since 2017 and are seeing results now.
The Middle-East is always a mess. You've got national, ethnic, religious and political lines to consider and any group you deal with will have 3 of these traits and hate other groups who share even similar traits of their own. Israel is a parasite that absorbed the might of the US, Iran threatened Israel with developing nukes unless paid off by the US, both Turkey and the Saudi's just bought US equipment because they can. What I can say is that there is no regional dominant power is exactly how Israel wants it. If Iran became the dominant power, you'd have a Shia dominant country with Turkey and Saudi being Sunni and they wouldn't like that. If Saudi's went on strong, Iran wouldn't like that and nukes might follow.
America is at trouble on the homefront, derisive propaganda will do that and China's exploration of funding that propaganda left by the cracks the old USSR channels left shouldn't be understated. They're proving effective at crippling the military with things like Women in the forces and pregnancy flight-suits. We all know it's BS but they'll do it anyway because they're funded to do it. Their tech edge though, especially at Darpa, I think will still last. America's edge is what gives it it's strength and the MIC will do anything to justify it's spending, look how much they blew on the F-35 program for instance. The Japanese back around Christmas passed a 5 trillion yen defense bill focused on native aircraft production and long range missiles, with a focus on ASM emplacements on Okinawa. I'm thinking that Japan, Taiwan and SK saw the writing on the wall with Trump, he pushed hard for them to pay for their fair share of money for defense items so they switched to producing their own. SK in particular is already spending billions because of NK, so there's a delicate balance of China on one side and these there regional powers on the other. India has also boosted it's defense spending to almost $50B, with $3B being spent on arm supplies on their recent skirmish back in July.
America is in for a downturn. The Fed printed $7 billion dollars in 6 months and with an already weak dollar, it's just wasting ink at this point. Most people's financial advise recently has been keep money in for 6 months then pull everything out, cause it won't get better and I think that's what people are waiting for, that first panic sell to see everything crash.
Trump was a stop gap. He couldn't get the $6B he needed for his wall yet somehow found $30B to send to Israel in "Military Aid". I'm still deciding if he was a Kaiser, fugging forget the name of the german sociologist that projected the term but back in the 40s, his book said that people would naturally draw to Kaisers, populist leaders who at least projected the traits that would make people follow him instead of a democratic party as faith in institutions waned. I think he framed himself that way but in the end he wasn't very effective at real change.
Trump was a stop gap. He couldn't get the $6B he needed for his wall yet somehow found $30B to send to Israel in "Military Aid".
Well yeah, because he doesn't get the final say. It's not like he sandbagged the wall plans. He pushed as hard as anyone could reasonably push on his situation.
I think he framed himself that way but in the end he wasn't very effective at real change.
How could he have been more effective with the entire establishment (media, spooks, etc) lined up against him? Even with all of that and the Wuhan Flu he still go re-elected in a landslide.
Don't get me wrong, Trump was far from perfect and could have done some things better but his ceiling was low because the deck was stacked against him.
Does, in fact. The president can unilaterally end any foreign aid at any time, and US law already forbids it to Israel. He violated the law by supporting them.
It's not like he sandbagged the wall plans.
He did, though. His ✡son in law✡ told him what to do (and not do) and he obeyed.
He pushed as hard as anyone could reasonably push on his situation.
He did literally nothing and blamed everyone else for it.
I think he framed himself that way but in the end he wasn't very effective at real change.
Jack Murphy called it right. We needed Trump to blast the left and RINOs, but he really was a poor institution builder. He seemed to enjoy the levers, but have little interest in developing the machine.
And that lack of institution building/rebuilding, bit him and us in the ass hard.
The US will fall soon. However, there is good news. When the economic collapse hits our nation, it will recede our nation into chaos, China, Russia, India, and the EU will take advantage and begin their international rampage, while Brazil, Turkey, Israel, Iran, and the Saudis will begin whatever they want to do regionally. The US is still protected by oceans and the relatively unimportant Canada and in this time period, a Mexico no one will want to deal with.
Being isolated by oceans and two nations that without massive military expansion/shipments couldn't take the domestic front, the US will be relatively safe. The only thing of value here that would be easily obtainable would be nuclear weapons and other military equipment, grab-and-go operations. When this US collapse happens, the decades of Weimar-like conditions and a failed economy will push the people into desperation. Enter the first American dictator. A nationalist, he will likely be able to rebuild the US, not to the level of world power but to a respectable position, and could even expand back to that if enough wars weaken the rest of the world. However, I believe that after seeing the effects of 80-90+ years of globalization on the US, I think most will likely not want to return to a state of power, rather becoming isolationist.
Then you have the powers that be, the most important faction in all of this. They have a direct need to take full control and establish some sort of world government, one with direct control. Backed by the Serpent, they will want to take control, and according to the bible will take control after a series of disasters leaves upwards of 2.5 billion dead. Any remaining isolationist America would be a threat, so it is in their best interest to ensure that the economy doesn't hit Great Depression levels, which will trigger the right-wing backlash.
Mexico is uninvadable for the exact same reason the USA was in WW2: A gun behind every blade of grass. But in their case, it is cartels and criminal empires, not citizen militia. Cell-based and segregated, yet unified, faster to respond than government bureaucracy by a mile, with less than no concern over "honor" or fair play, they in fact seek the opposite. The world looks horrified at the Middle East villains pouring boiling water or acid down throats to kill children. To some cartels that's a mercy killing.
Should the USA fall, Mexico's criminal element will likely take over North America.
Your view of mere crippling poverty and Weimar conditions is an overly optimistic one, I think. A... Kreinocracy? I'm probably mangling the Greek there, but Rule By Criminality.
The general feeling in Taiwan is that the Americans aren't coming and that PRC control is inevitable.
What is this based on?
Overall, China sees America as a weak, fading power with overpriced large toys that are perfect targets for China's new generation of missile tech (that the Americans have no counter for).
It's more that China is planning on what we may call asymmetric warfare. American toys are very high-tech and expensive, and they are impressive, but if you can take it down with lower-tech and cheaper weapons, you are getting far more value for your renminbi.
It's unfortunate that most of this could have been avoided if Trump won a second term, but as we have all found out.
Unlikely. Trump could have delayed America's decline but not halted it. It is cultural rot that will lead to the destruction of America.
As Americans stratify along racial lines, the animosity will grow between each group. Nothing good will come of this, but the democrat ruling party does not care.
It's almost as if political parties care about their own prospects, and not what they inflict on the nation. The reason the CCP does such a good job, is not because it cares about China, but because if it doesn't do well, it knows it will be removed from power by the Chinese.
The Republic was never what was important - ever. It was but a shell that surrounds the Jedi - just as the teachings of the Jedi are a shell surrounding the heart of man. You see, the war, the true war, has never been one waged by droids, or warships, or soldiers. They are but crude matter, obstacles against which we test ourselves. The true war is waged in the hearts of all living things, against our own natures, light or dark. That is what shapes and binds this galaxy, not these creations of man.
Kreia on why Culture is the beating heart of an Empire.
It's why China is in a dominant position, because their culture is unified around the CCP, who use the money from said economy to buy off politicians in America and elsewhere to keep the general populace in a schizophrenic state of blue vs red while they act unimpeded.
The US, and western nations in general, will likely fall without China having to fire a missile; the culture war rotting the west is more effective anyway.
Ahhh...where do I start. Why would China take Taiwan by force when they can just wait for some traitor to give it to them like HK?
Russia will not be silent in the next decade. The growing rhetoric against it from the conveniently all led by women - who won't see any of their own die if there is a war Western powers tells me that could go south quickly. EU to be the aggressor in that conflict, economic sanctions over some bullshit that isn't even true. UK will probably be involved because it's a matriarchal shit state.
Harris and co have a plan for the ME. It might be the worst plan in the world, but it is a plan. The climate cult cutting the demand for oil would finally bankrupt the region, toppling every government within it and allowing the US to finally just take it all over.
America domestically is living through the first days of being conquered. 1% of the vote and they still took power, but everyone will cry about China, Russia and other bullshit instead of acknowledging the feminist world order. Things are different now, with the EU and the US under their control and every single virus recovery plan having a pro-women slant, it's time people realized who's been running the show since China Flu gave them their big break.
Trump getting re-elected would have slowed the decline, not stopped it.
I recommend looking up the circumstances around some of the laws passed, such as the law that allows prisoners to be sent out of HK into mainland China. Basically politicians who would have voted against the bill were locked out of the room while the voting took place.
The growing rhetoric against it from the conveniently all led by women - who won't see any of their own die if there is a war
Unlike you, women have kids. People attach more importance to their kids, family members and husbands than they do to some rando who shares their gender.
It's unfortunate that most of this could have been avoided if Trump won a second term, but as we have all found out. Actual true meaningful progress will never get a fair shake in today's media. Only feel-good laws and racial discrimination will get passed. Further weakening American society and culture.
This is the heartbreak.
Trump was stolen from America. He coulda be an awesome icon, turning America's heart and will toward the sun, as he worked so hard to do, but they did everything they could to take him away from her.
Swing and a miss with Russia/Ukraine. Ukraine cut off the water to Crimea. They are provoking Russia for an excuse to retake Donetsk. The US is encouraging Ukraine as part of play to stop Nord Stream 2. At the same time, Germany won't let the US go very far with Ukraine because they don't want to piss off their hydrocarbon dealer. May the best slav win.
Interesting post. Thanks for taking the time to share your thoughts.
They haven't evolved with the times. And while no one can reject the amount of kick ass present on each American Carrier group. The problem however is that missile technology has progressed to the point where giant floating islands in the sea make great targets. And while Americans can avoid such missiles in the middle of the ocean (for now) it does create an area of denial 1000 miles from China shores. Which is handy, because the majority of the islands that hem the Chinese into the East China Sea are within that 1000 miles.
China's global force projection will be via space, not sea. This analysis does not take into account tech progression and the 4th industrial revolution
Do stormfags still believe in evil dems vs wonderful repubs? The sad fact is, there is little hope of throwing off this tyranny when the vast majority of people are so easily mesmerized by The Political Show (they put on to distract the masses).
I'd agree with alot of your sentiments but there are a few things you're forgetting.
China's debt to GDP is 280%, which is why companies like tencent are looking for outside investment but since the global economy is going debt wise as well, their investments and currency are going to be hit by inflation. When that happens, the physical assets they have will be worth a whole lot more. Which also brings up what happens to assets in foreign countries if they can't protect those from a starving local populace.
Russia's in a weird place. They're still seeking to influence their neighbors and such but Putin is 68 which I know is a decade behind Biden but there were rumors of him having Parkinson's last year, this rumor could be spread by America as it was mostly reported only on western outlets but he is getting up there in age and as a result, his successor will have to fight off contenders that are probably backed by the west to gain control of Russia. Russia still has alot of untapped natural resources that globalists would love to import the 3rd world to exploit. I foresee internal conflict rather than expansion in the future, Navalny was just the first casualty of challenging Putin.
Taiwan is even more fiercely independent than ever. Their first female PM, yes I know don't tell Impossible1, was re-elected in 2020 and on both her inauguration addresses stated that they would never be "one country, two system", because one only needs to look at Hong Kong to see how well that turns out. As a result, they upped their Defense spending to 8% of GDP and have been constructing native Defense industries with attention to ship building and aircraft manufacturing so they don't have to rely on US imports and support. They've been doing this since 2017 and are seeing results now.
The Middle-East is always a mess. You've got national, ethnic, religious and political lines to consider and any group you deal with will have 3 of these traits and hate other groups who share even similar traits of their own. Israel is a parasite that absorbed the might of the US, Iran threatened Israel with developing nukes unless paid off by the US, both Turkey and the Saudi's just bought US equipment because they can. What I can say is that there is no regional dominant power is exactly how Israel wants it. If Iran became the dominant power, you'd have a Shia dominant country with Turkey and Saudi being Sunni and they wouldn't like that. If Saudi's went on strong, Iran wouldn't like that and nukes might follow.
America is at trouble on the homefront, derisive propaganda will do that and China's exploration of funding that propaganda left by the cracks the old USSR channels left shouldn't be understated. They're proving effective at crippling the military with things like Women in the forces and pregnancy flight-suits. We all know it's BS but they'll do it anyway because they're funded to do it. Their tech edge though, especially at Darpa, I think will still last. America's edge is what gives it it's strength and the MIC will do anything to justify it's spending, look how much they blew on the F-35 program for instance. The Japanese back around Christmas passed a 5 trillion yen defense bill focused on native aircraft production and long range missiles, with a focus on ASM emplacements on Okinawa. I'm thinking that Japan, Taiwan and SK saw the writing on the wall with Trump, he pushed hard for them to pay for their fair share of money for defense items so they switched to producing their own. SK in particular is already spending billions because of NK, so there's a delicate balance of China on one side and these there regional powers on the other. India has also boosted it's defense spending to almost $50B, with $3B being spent on arm supplies on their recent skirmish back in July.
America is in for a downturn. The Fed printed $7 billion dollars in 6 months and with an already weak dollar, it's just wasting ink at this point. Most people's financial advise recently has been keep money in for 6 months then pull everything out, cause it won't get better and I think that's what people are waiting for, that first panic sell to see everything crash.
Trump was a stop gap. He couldn't get the $6B he needed for his wall yet somehow found $30B to send to Israel in "Military Aid". I'm still deciding if he was a Kaiser, fugging forget the name of the german sociologist that projected the term but back in the 40s, his book said that people would naturally draw to Kaisers, populist leaders who at least projected the traits that would make people follow him instead of a democratic party as faith in institutions waned. I think he framed himself that way but in the end he wasn't very effective at real change.
Well yeah, because he doesn't get the final say. It's not like he sandbagged the wall plans. He pushed as hard as anyone could reasonably push on his situation.
How could he have been more effective with the entire establishment (media, spooks, etc) lined up against him? Even with all of that and the Wuhan Flu he still go re-elected in a landslide.
Don't get me wrong, Trump was far from perfect and could have done some things better but his ceiling was low because the deck was stacked against him.
Does, in fact. The president can unilaterally end any foreign aid at any time, and US law already forbids it to Israel. He violated the law by supporting them.
He did, though. His ✡son in law✡ told him what to do (and not do) and he obeyed.
He did literally nothing and blamed everyone else for it.
Jack Murphy called it right. We needed Trump to blast the left and RINOs, but he really was a poor institution builder. He seemed to enjoy the levers, but have little interest in developing the machine.
And that lack of institution building/rebuilding, bit him and us in the ass hard.
The US will fall soon. However, there is good news. When the economic collapse hits our nation, it will recede our nation into chaos, China, Russia, India, and the EU will take advantage and begin their international rampage, while Brazil, Turkey, Israel, Iran, and the Saudis will begin whatever they want to do regionally. The US is still protected by oceans and the relatively unimportant Canada and in this time period, a Mexico no one will want to deal with.
Being isolated by oceans and two nations that without massive military expansion/shipments couldn't take the domestic front, the US will be relatively safe. The only thing of value here that would be easily obtainable would be nuclear weapons and other military equipment, grab-and-go operations. When this US collapse happens, the decades of Weimar-like conditions and a failed economy will push the people into desperation. Enter the first American dictator. A nationalist, he will likely be able to rebuild the US, not to the level of world power but to a respectable position, and could even expand back to that if enough wars weaken the rest of the world. However, I believe that after seeing the effects of 80-90+ years of globalization on the US, I think most will likely not want to return to a state of power, rather becoming isolationist.
Then you have the powers that be, the most important faction in all of this. They have a direct need to take full control and establish some sort of world government, one with direct control. Backed by the Serpent, they will want to take control, and according to the bible will take control after a series of disasters leaves upwards of 2.5 billion dead. Any remaining isolationist America would be a threat, so it is in their best interest to ensure that the economy doesn't hit Great Depression levels, which will trigger the right-wing backlash.
Mexico is uninvadable for the exact same reason the USA was in WW2: A gun behind every blade of grass. But in their case, it is cartels and criminal empires, not citizen militia. Cell-based and segregated, yet unified, faster to respond than government bureaucracy by a mile, with less than no concern over "honor" or fair play, they in fact seek the opposite. The world looks horrified at the Middle East villains pouring boiling water or acid down throats to kill children. To some cartels that's a mercy killing.
Should the USA fall, Mexico's criminal element will likely take over North America.
Your view of mere crippling poverty and Weimar conditions is an overly optimistic one, I think. A... Kreinocracy? I'm probably mangling the Greek there, but Rule By Criminality.
I'd rather be ruled by local criminals than by global ones.
What is this based on?
It's more that China is planning on what we may call asymmetric warfare. American toys are very high-tech and expensive, and they are impressive, but if you can take it down with lower-tech and cheaper weapons, you are getting far more value for your renminbi.
Unlikely. Trump could have delayed America's decline but not halted it. It is cultural rot that will lead to the destruction of America.
It's almost as if political parties care about their own prospects, and not what they inflict on the nation. The reason the CCP does such a good job, is not because it cares about China, but because if it doesn't do well, it knows it will be removed from power by the Chinese.
Yes… China is totally the one that does that. China. Not any other nation. China, goyim. It’s the Chinese who do this.
I get that you have stupid opinions, but do you also have to be such an insufferable sperg about it?
Truth is not a matter of opinion, moishe. I posted no opinion. You’re just salty about being found out, as your kind always is.
Too bad you spew nothing but absolute crap, Adolf.
Shame you can’t prove wrong anything I say, then. Must not say much about your own beliefs, huh.
Quality post, reasonable takes, far more effort than I would've put into a write-up that would've had similar conclusions for each region.
Perfect summary of the region.
If he would read the document A Strategy for Israel in the 1980s he wouldn’t think there’s no logic behind the actions of today.
ISRAEL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Yeah, see, there it is.
Ahhh...where do I start. Why would China take Taiwan by force when they can just wait for some traitor to give it to them like HK?
Russia will not be silent in the next decade. The growing rhetoric against it from the
conveniently all led by women - who won't see any of their own die if there is a warWestern powers tells me that could go south quickly. EU to be the aggressor in that conflict, economic sanctions over some bullshit that isn't even true. UK will probably be involved because it's a matriarchal shit state.Harris and co have a plan for the ME. It might be the worst plan in the world, but it is a plan. The climate cult cutting the demand for oil would finally bankrupt the region, toppling every government within it and allowing the US to finally just take it all over.
America domestically is living through the first days of being conquered. 1% of the vote and they still took power, but everyone will cry about China, Russia and other bullshit instead of acknowledging the feminist world order. Things are different now, with the EU and the US under their control and every single virus recovery plan having a pro-women slant, it's time people realized who's been running the show since China Flu gave them their big break.
Trump getting re-elected would have slowed the decline, not stopped it.
Wait, is there a story here? What traitors gave away HK?
I recommend looking up the circumstances around some of the laws passed, such as the law that allows prisoners to be sent out of HK into mainland China. Basically politicians who would have voted against the bill were locked out of the room while the voting took place.
No one, he just saw an opportunity to try to blame the situation in Hong Kong on "our worse halves".
Military force is what took HK.
Bullshit. She ordered the HK police to go against the protestors.
She signed the deal with the CCP. She sold them out.
I knew it.
You know it isn't a thing until TheImpossible1 finds a woman to blame for... well, everything.
So, she's innocent? Really?
Sometimes I think you enjoy being contrarian to me more than you care about accuracy.
No, but she did it because she is an apparatchik, not because of your Dastardly Sisterhood plotting to kill you.
Can confirm.
I distinctly recall false claims by you in the past month.
She did it because they probably paid her off.
Fair.
I don't recall that.
Unlike you, women have kids. People attach more importance to their kids, family members and husbands than they do to some rando who shares their gender.
People who aren't crazy like you, that is.
And trannies aren't suicidal.
70% < 42%
70% what?
70% of divorces are initiated by the woman.
Wait, what? What exactly did you think you were proving by that?
I'm proving that your conclusion is idiotic. Women couldn't care less about their partners beyond what they get in their bank balance.
How does the fact that some women divorce 'prove' that women couldn't care less about their partners?
I'm assuming that you're not dumb enough to think that because 70% of divorces are initiated by women, that 70% of women divorce.
This is the heartbreak.
Trump was stolen from America. He coulda be an awesome icon, turning America's heart and will toward the sun, as he worked so hard to do, but they did everything they could to take him away from her.
Swing and a miss with Russia/Ukraine. Ukraine cut off the water to Crimea. They are provoking Russia for an excuse to retake Donetsk. The US is encouraging Ukraine as part of play to stop Nord Stream 2. At the same time, Germany won't let the US go very far with Ukraine because they don't want to piss off their hydrocarbon dealer. May the best slav win.
three gorges bursting should take china out of the equation for a while.
if i were a more maliciously inclined state actor i might even try "helping" it along.
Iran is about the petrodollar, they use anything but the petrodollar.
Interesting post. Thanks for taking the time to share your thoughts.
How long has this been the case for?
China's global force projection will be via space, not sea. This analysis does not take into account tech progression and the 4th industrial revolution
One measure of our fall is how many still believe in the false reality of the ZOGmaster.
Who let the Stormfags out?
No idea. What's a stormfag, and who let them out?
Do stormfags still believe in evil dems vs wonderful repubs? The sad fact is, there is little hope of throwing off this tyranny when the vast majority of people are so easily mesmerized by The Political Show (they put on to distract the masses).
Damn, you almost had something better than average until you collapsed like a dying star.