My dream is that Minnesota unexpectedly votes for Trump and wings the election, and it turns out that this was because of all their rioting. There will be a yuge civil war in the Dems if that happens, between the racialists and the sane people.
I saw the Minnesota rally on RSBN and based on the enthusiasm and size of the crowd, Trump has a decent shot of flipping it red for the first time in about three decades.
Trafalgar Polling which was the most accurate in 2016 shows that Trump is within the margin of error of 2 points in Minnesota.
I also really hope he pulls it off and incites that internal Democrat civil war.
I have a decent view into California's establishment democrat machine. Their civil war with the progressives is raging, and they are making proscription lists for each other.
Adam Schiff has also completely missed that the Armenian vote is going hard Trump, especially after the ceasefire with Azerbaijan. There is a timeline where he gets taken out.
It looks like I'm dead right, but in the opposite direction.
I think the Leftist Civil War is highly over-stated. If the Democrats can drag 3rd party voters back into voting for Biden, then there's a real chance that Trump can lose.
Do you think the Dems would realize at that point that cheerleading riots is not a good thing? If it happens. I want Trump to win but worried Biden will. Of course I’ll just go to work tomorrow instead of rioting.
Yeah I definitely expect some good turnout among men for Trump based on information from People's Pundit Baris, Trafalgar polling, Democracy Institute polling and early voting trends!
Trump will most likely receive a large portion of the male vote overall.
Thanks, any of these offering summaries? I do care about the end result, and want to have a link I can quickly check for the latest total, with the ability to check individual states if I want to.
I doubt it. Larry Schweikart unironically says 'demoKKKrat', which just makes me take him not seriously.
The New York Times prediction based on actual results (which is what the Young Turks were citing as they were melting down) was quite accurate in 2016 and 2018 though.
Larry loves his quirky nicknames. His pinned tweet lists all of the nicknames he uses.
Larry has provided very accurate data in terms of early voting information.
It is quite foolish to discount all the data that he reports by his personality and his word usage.
This giving too much importance to the usage of certain words is a big part of why TDS exists. All the "Trump is saying bad words in his tweets or using improper words" fuckers do this shit.
Don't be like them.
You should be able to evaluate him based on the data he provides, not solely on some quirky nicknames that offend you.
You should know that this year, the corrupt mainstream news outlets(NYT, WaPo, CNN, MSNBC, Fox, ABC and CBS) will only call the states that Biden wins and they will purposely not call the states that Trump wins by saying they are waiting for all of the ballots.
If you want some timely updates, you won't be getting it from any mainstream media group. Maybe the small Trump supporting news outlets RSBN and OANN might be up to date.
You should be able to evaluate him based on the data he provides, not solely on some quirky nicknames that offend you.
It doesn't offend me, I think it's funny, but then I also think that he may not be a very serious person. Same reason I don't take seriously anyone who calls Republicans 'Rethuglicans' or 'Repuglicans'.
AP did some good calls in 2016 I recall. And while NYT may not call states, its prediction model was decent and was reliable - the stuff that Nate Cohn creates.
Only thing that would have me slightly bothered is that way back when the early predictions (we're talking Jan/Feb) were the only way Trump losses was record turnout. They are predicting 75% turnout here in Missouri and I went to two polling places (we can go to any polling location in the County this time due to COVID) and both had lines out the door and around the building at 7AM. And what I heard in line was not encouraging. Easily anti-trump 3 to 1 in MO-2.
I got a bit of a wake up call on Halloween. Neighbors that have complained about taxes and liberals before, but they also HATE Trump with a passion. We're talking white educated upper middle-class/rich. And they are all voting Biden Today. The entire street. Us and one other neighbor are Trump. And I doubt his wife and eldest daughter are voting Trump. Back in 2016 there were 4 Hillary signs and 2 or 3 Trump signs if I remember. This time there were over 25 Biden signs in the neighborhood and 6 Trump signs.
Not saying that your points are not valid, but white (mis)educated middle-class/rich is basically the anti-Trump redoubt. And 'yard signs' are used as an argument by people who wanted to persuade me that Trump is going to win, since apparently Trump is beating Biden almost everywhere on that score.
I doubt the MSM will stall. They'll call it early for Biden to discourage Trump voters from "wasting their time" by going to a poll "that's already lost". It's one giant psyop.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1323485169639149568
This is really encouraging.
My dream is that all male groups overwhelmingly vote Trump and send the message that female supremacists have got to go!
My dream is that Minnesota unexpectedly votes for Trump and wings the election, and it turns out that this was because of all their rioting. There will be a yuge civil war in the Dems if that happens, between the racialists and the sane people.
That is not too unlikely.
I saw the Minnesota rally on RSBN and based on the enthusiasm and size of the crowd, Trump has a decent shot of flipping it red for the first time in about three decades.
Trafalgar Polling which was the most accurate in 2016 shows that Trump is within the margin of error of 2 points in Minnesota.
I also really hope he pulls it off and incites that internal Democrat civil war.
They've been in one for over 150 days at this point.
I'm either dead right, or dead wrong.
I have a decent view into California's establishment democrat machine. Their civil war with the progressives is raging, and they are making proscription lists for each other.
Adam Schiff has also completely missed that the Armenian vote is going hard Trump, especially after the ceasefire with Azerbaijan. There is a timeline where he gets taken out.
It looks like I'm dead right, but in the opposite direction.
I think the Leftist Civil War is highly over-stated. If the Democrats can drag 3rd party voters back into voting for Biden, then there's a real chance that Trump can lose.
I think the friendly/honest polls are still underestimating the shy Trump vote. This will be the greatest grassroots practical joke.
My hope is one of the unthinkable states goes Red: Oregon, Washington, Deleware, Maryland, New Jersey, New Mexico, even Illinois.
A strike at any one of those states would be a death blow to the establishment & Leftist narratives.
Do you think the Dems would realize at that point that cheerleading riots is not a good thing? If it happens. I want Trump to win but worried Biden will. Of course I’ll just go to work tomorrow instead of rioting.
Yeah I definitely expect some good turnout among men for Trump based on information from People's Pundit Baris, Trafalgar polling, Democracy Institute polling and early voting trends!
Trump will most likely receive a large portion of the male vote overall.
Thanks, any of these offering summaries? I do care about the end result, and want to have a link I can quickly check for the latest total, with the ability to check individual states if I want to.
Outstanding, needless to say. Do you have anything to add about what onetruephilosoraptor just brought up?
I doubt it. Larry Schweikart unironically says 'demoKKKrat', which just makes me take him not seriously.
The New York Times prediction based on actual results (which is what the Young Turks were citing as they were melting down) was quite accurate in 2016 and 2018 though.
Unfortunately, that can't be archived.
Larry loves his quirky nicknames. His pinned tweet lists all of the nicknames he uses.
Larry has provided very accurate data in terms of early voting information.
It is quite foolish to discount all the data that he reports by his personality and his word usage.
This giving too much importance to the usage of certain words is a big part of why TDS exists. All the "Trump is saying bad words in his tweets or using improper words" fuckers do this shit.
Don't be like them.
You should be able to evaluate him based on the data he provides, not solely on some quirky nicknames that offend you.
You should know that this year, the corrupt mainstream news outlets(NYT, WaPo, CNN, MSNBC, Fox, ABC and CBS) will only call the states that Biden wins and they will purposely not call the states that Trump wins by saying they are waiting for all of the ballots.
If you want some timely updates, you won't be getting it from any mainstream media group. Maybe the small Trump supporting news outlets RSBN and OANN might be up to date.
It doesn't offend me, I think it's funny, but then I also think that he may not be a very serious person. Same reason I don't take seriously anyone who calls Republicans 'Rethuglicans' or 'Repuglicans'.
AP did some good calls in 2016 I recall. And while NYT may not call states, its prediction model was decent and was reliable - the stuff that Nate Cohn creates.
Nate Cohn and Nate Silver are especially in Democrat dreamland this election cycle.
Their electoral map predictions in favor of a complete and utter landslide for Old Joe won't age well today.
Nate Pewter?
He's been hard at work walking it back over the past week. I think his most recent release last night was saying Trump has a 50/50 shot.
They know they're fucked they just can't admit it.
538 loses millions every year. It is pure propaganda.
I'm not talking about Cohn's projections based on the polls, but those based on the real results.
Only thing that would have me slightly bothered is that way back when the early predictions (we're talking Jan/Feb) were the only way Trump losses was record turnout. They are predicting 75% turnout here in Missouri and I went to two polling places (we can go to any polling location in the County this time due to COVID) and both had lines out the door and around the building at 7AM. And what I heard in line was not encouraging. Easily anti-trump 3 to 1 in MO-2.
I got a bit of a wake up call on Halloween. Neighbors that have complained about taxes and liberals before, but they also HATE Trump with a passion. We're talking white educated upper middle-class/rich. And they are all voting Biden Today. The entire street. Us and one other neighbor are Trump. And I doubt his wife and eldest daughter are voting Trump. Back in 2016 there were 4 Hillary signs and 2 or 3 Trump signs if I remember. This time there were over 25 Biden signs in the neighborhood and 6 Trump signs.
Not saying that your points are not valid, but white (mis)educated middle-class/rich is basically the anti-Trump redoubt. And 'yard signs' are used as an argument by people who wanted to persuade me that Trump is going to win, since apparently Trump is beating Biden almost everywhere on that score.
Surprising since NYT is so biased with its other coverage. Thanks for the heads up.
Comment Reported for: Rule 12: Falsehoods
Comment Approved: That's not how this rule works.
I doubt the MSM will stall. They'll call it early for Biden to discourage Trump voters from "wasting their time" by going to a poll "that's already lost". It's one giant psyop.