Game Over
(twitter.com)
You're viewing a single comment thread. View all comments, or full comment thread.
Comments (32)
sorted by:
What does Taiwan have to offer that would make Japan and South Korea throwing themselves under the bus an attractive prospect for them?
If China goes all-in on Taiwan, unless the US stops them (and with Biden's handlers in charge, they won't), they're not getting stopped. About the best you can hope for is go Swiss and make conquering you expensive enough that you're not worth the bother.
Japan and South Korea should fear that if Taiwan is conquered, they are at risk of being eventually subjugated by China in the not too distant future.
China probably won't be stopped easily but making it as hard as possible for them is the best option Taiwan has.
For Taiwan, yes. For Japan and South Korea ... it's a different proposition. There's a material difference in the state of both countries with respect to China compared to Taiwan, which the PRC has always held is a part of China.
I'm struggling to see a reason for JP and SK to throw servicemen's lives away for Taiwan. It'd be a tragedy for the people of Taiwan, but those Taiwanese people are not the responsibility of Japan's PM or SK's president.
You're missing the point by a mile and a half.
If Taiwan falls it signals that China is free to take whatever they want.
A conquered Taiwan means that China moves onto their next target.
Not really, no. China's quite content to use soft power to simply own other people's countries, I suspect China's efforts to dominate both Japan and South Korea will be quite different to the conquest of Taiwan.
This also means that any even slightly democratic society will not have a causus bellum to use to go after China, as they're not going to be presented with a military threat.
Taiwan is the buffer zone and early warning system between china and their countries. Chinese aggression will be significantly more difficult unless tawian is taken first.
Japan and Korea are historical enemies of each other and China.