The likelihood of Taiwan falling to the PRC is absolutely zero.
The straits would run red with blood and burning kerosene. Do you know how many DPICM rounds the RoC has for their M270's? How many hardened, silo launched antiship missiles they have?
It's a lot. It's a disgusting lot. Enough to burn the entire PRC navy ten times over.
Y'know that scene in Evangelion when all those massed launchers are firing off hammering an angel with a billion dollars worth of missiles? It'd be like that.
An attempt to take Taiwan by force would turn a hundred miles of water into a graveyard for ten million men. It cannot be done. ESPECIALLY now that they have GUIDED 155 mm artillery rounds. That's like hitting ships with WW1 secondary battery guns from high angles with the precision of a missile. Ships simply aren't built with armor against large AP rounds anymore, especially not China's cheapo fleet.
An attack by the PRC against the RoC would be the first time in history where a land army defeats a navy with just artillery. And it'd be as one-sided as the Battle of Surigao Strait.
You gotta understand TI, we have not seen a forced amphibious assault against hardened, dug in defenses in 70 years. If the PRC is dumb enough to try it they'll learn why Schwarzkopf made a FEINT amphibious assault against Iraq instead of a real one. 'Cuz with the artillery the world has now it would be a meat grinder for anyone trying it.
You just can't envision it because you've never seen a fight where a SINGLE land fired artillery shell from a traditional howitzer has a better than 50/50 chance of hitting a landing ship and killing everyone aboard, five miles offshore. That's the world of war we live in today. We just haven't seen a fight where that sort of capacity has been demonstrated, because we've been shooting goat herding terrorists for twenty years.
Oh I'm looking forward to see how far they'll go.
If there's any country that has the balls to try banning divorce and kicking women out of the workplace, it's China.
TI.....
The likelihood of Taiwan falling to the PRC is absolutely zero.
The straits would run red with blood and burning kerosene. Do you know how many DPICM rounds the RoC has for their M270's? How many hardened, silo launched antiship missiles they have?
It's a lot. It's a disgusting lot. Enough to burn the entire PRC navy ten times over.
Y'know that scene in Evangelion when all those massed launchers are firing off hammering an angel with a billion dollars worth of missiles? It'd be like that.
An attempt to take Taiwan by force would turn a hundred miles of water into a graveyard for ten million men. It cannot be done. ESPECIALLY now that they have GUIDED 155 mm artillery rounds. That's like hitting ships with WW1 secondary battery guns from high angles with the precision of a missile. Ships simply aren't built with armor against large AP rounds anymore, especially not China's cheapo fleet.
Taiwan will be taken with soft power, military threats, and with the help of traitors from the inside.
So that's a no, it won't be taken.
Public opinion in Taiwan is like 75% against reunification, and 2/3rds against closer ties with China of any kind.
No, I'm not.
This is capacity they already have.
An attack by the PRC against the RoC would be the first time in history where a land army defeats a navy with just artillery. And it'd be as one-sided as the Battle of Surigao Strait.
You gotta understand TI, we have not seen a forced amphibious assault against hardened, dug in defenses in 70 years. If the PRC is dumb enough to try it they'll learn why Schwarzkopf made a FEINT amphibious assault against Iraq instead of a real one. 'Cuz with the artillery the world has now it would be a meat grinder for anyone trying it.
You just can't envision it because you've never seen a fight where a SINGLE land fired artillery shell from a traditional howitzer has a better than 50/50 chance of hitting a landing ship and killing everyone aboard, five miles offshore. That's the world of war we live in today. We just haven't seen a fight where that sort of capacity has been demonstrated, because we've been shooting goat herding terrorists for twenty years.