Less than a week ago, when we were all posting predictions on the latest peace deal, I posted this
"Israel will level another apartment building in Lebanon, and Trump will say it was fair game."
Well here'the latest:
TLDR: Israel attacked Lebanon when ceasefire was in effect.
So here's the cycle:
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Trump proposes peace deal to open the Straight, which includes all sides ending hostilities
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Iran blusters and rejects it citing continued attacks on their funded paramilitaries, before begrudgingly accepting it
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Israel gets big mad that the peace deal is not regime change and carpet bombs another neighborhood across the border
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Iran (correctly) complains that the peace deal was violated, and the war is back on
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GOTO 1
Step 3 is clearly the problematic link. Any non-compromised leader would cut off the rogue party to break the cycle.
This was known, the question was always how Trump reacts to it. Does he finally cut ties with Israel or are we back to square one? He absolutely can’t afford the strait getting closed again, our strategic petroleum reserves are at a historic low and he was already inching toward the point of no return, it’s gonna take months for prices to stabilize as it is.
At this point I'm hoping the salt caverns collapse so these fucks no longer have a Strategic
PoliticalPetroleum Reserve.its funny how that works.. spikes up within 1 week, but takes months or years to stabilize and it may or may never go back to what it was before spike. like covid for example ;s.