I was hoping that the recent spate of migrant stabbings and Cars of Peace would lead to an overperformance by the AfD. Turns out that they are underperforming, although they have gained about a point compared to the first exit poll.
BSW (left-wing populist, anti-woke, anti-war) appeared to get 4.9% and thus waste all its votes - but it's looking better now. Some on the German right hate BSW because they think that it takes votes away from the AfD, but looking at the whole picture, I find that very unlikely.
The winner CDU has positioned itself as tough on immigration. They are the party of that old witch Merkel, and some party members have broken with its immigration hawk leader recently. Let's see what happens.
It's very difficult to 'control dissent' against 20% of the population. It won't stop them from trying, but banning parties or persecuting people only works when already existing support is very small. All they'll accomplish is to embitter people even more and turn them completely against the state.
Only maybe 2-3%. If you expected more than 25% for the AfD you are delusional.
Some on the German right hate BSW because they think that it takes votes away from the AfD, but looking at the whole picture, I find that very unlikely.
You are right. Most polls (from a few months ago, was last I saw news about it) indicated that BSW voters didn't come from the AfD.
The winner CDU has positioned itself as tough on immigration
While not prejudging any graphic, you can make any two parties look identical by being selective.
The Union has at least promised to crack down on immigration. Either they will, or they won't. If they do, so much the better. If they don't, their disappointed voters can move over to the AfD, as the so called mainstream clearly offered no solutions.
I was hoping that the recent spate of migrant stabbings and Cars of Peace would lead to an overperformance by the AfD. Turns out that they are underperforming, although they have gained about a point compared to the first exit poll.
BSW (left-wing populist, anti-woke, anti-war) appeared to get 4.9% and thus waste all its votes - but it's looking better now. Some on the German right hate BSW because they think that it takes votes away from the AfD, but looking at the whole picture, I find that very unlikely.
The winner CDU has positioned itself as tough on immigration. They are the party of that old witch Merkel, and some party members have broken with its immigration hawk leader recently. Let's see what happens.
It's very difficult to 'control dissent' against 20% of the population. It won't stop them from trying, but banning parties or persecuting people only works when already existing support is very small. All they'll accomplish is to embitter people even more and turn them completely against the state.
Signal right, turn left. If they actually cared they would collaborate with the Afd.
SureJan.jif
Only maybe 2-3%. If you expected more than 25% for the AfD you are delusional.
You are right. Most polls (from a few months ago, was last I saw news about it) indicated that BSW voters didn't come from the AfD.
They won't do shit.
There was a graphic on Patriots that seemed to indicate Union has almost the same policy positions as the left wing SPD and Greens.
This is from analysing the wahl-o-mat answers (img stolen by me):
CDU is 42%/46% overlap with Greens/SPD.
obviously it's a bit flawed due to how the wahl-o-mat works.
While not prejudging any graphic, you can make any two parties look identical by being selective.
The Union has at least promised to crack down on immigration. Either they will, or they won't. If they do, so much the better. If they don't, their disappointed voters can move over to the AfD, as the so called mainstream clearly offered no solutions.