I tend to avoid talking politics with my parents (mostly because they watch CNN and MSNBC all of the time), but in rare instances where war comes up, I ask them, "what if they reinstate the draft?" Their immediate response is, "that will never happen" and that is the end of the conversation. I sometimes think they say that because they don't want to even entertain the idea of the possible outcomes of a draft for their children, though perhaps they genuinely believe that the draft would never be reinstated because of potentially how unpopular it would be. I have seen similar strong opinions on this board about the impossibility of a draft in the United States, and I have to wonder why you are all so certain about it?
Time and again we have seen decisions by the government being made that defy logic, especially politically, only for the average citizen to look on in complete apathy at best, and sheer joy at worst. Years of the Syrian Civil War being plastered everywhere with criticisms of US inaction have made the left more hungry for war. The Ukraine War has seen leftist individuals (even the trannies who you would expect to whine and moan about doing anything) actually travel to Ukraine and participate in fighting. The propaganda is powerful, and the apathy towards resisting is even stronger.
I think you would have to be foolish to not even entertain the idea of the Establishment reinstating the draft. It doesn't matter if the logistics would be impossible as that has rarely stopped the government before. As far as I see it, the Silent Generation and the Boomers are not satisfied with merely passing away quietly, they want to go out in a blaze of glory, consequences for their children, and the human race as a whole, be damned.
Yes that's true but there's a key part you're missing of your examples:
We live in a HUGE patriotism disparity
You ask the MAGA crowd and they are patriotic only to their LOCAL communities and fewer to the state and none to the country. The left? They're running around with the flags of OTHER countries.
You don't have the belief in a country needed to do a draft, you try without that and everything collapses.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City_draft_riots
Did not stop the Civil War and the north still won.
When they still had law and order everywhere else.
Things have devolved so much now that drafting would be bad FOR the establishment as IF the normies fell for it you know who won't?
The 'urban youths and Basketball Americans' who enjoyed their 'summer of love', less normies working being productive, they aren't going to suddenly obey the law and fill the gap so it results in a STEEP acceleration into collapse and those 'migrants' won't fill the gap either so you remove the productive side of you population for a draft with NOTHING to fill it.
Incorrect. There is 1000x more controls available now for the state to use against you. Back then no central banking, no buearacracy, no managerial caste. Way more levers to pull now to get their way. People have no self determination anymore they don't know how to disobey the state.
Yeah the minority coalitions won't go, and a dindu brigade will be a disaster, but you still have plenty of normies to cull from.