Gentleman and gamers, it’s been a pleasure
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They're counting that an attack that is for show won't provoke nuclear retaliation.
The Yom Kippur War was different in that for a moment, it looked like Israel might collapse. That was dangerous. But even that worked well for Egypt in the end, because it led to the Camp David accords.
They are fucking insane.
If Iran starts a war with Israel, then Israel will take out the Iranian nuclear enrichment program.
Doing that will be very, very hard with anything but A) Cooperation of the Iranians or B) a nuclear strike.
Israel has sworn to never let Iran get a nuclear weapon, and I can't say that they are wrong in that pledge.
I think I was unclear (being a massive faggot). I don't think the Iranians want a shooting war. They perfectly calibrated their 'attack' to accomplish absolutely nothing.
At the same time, there have been many instances of people taking on nuclear powers. It seems to make barely any difference. As long as you are not an existential threat, then nuclear weapons remain off the table.
I agree. I don't think the Iranians want a shooting war. That said, the Iranians are striving, day and night, to finish a nuclear weapon specifically so that they can vaporize Tel Aviv. The Iranians are itching for any pretext at all to end Iran as a potential nuclear threat; Up to and including nuking the hardened facilities in which uranium is enriched.
I don't particularly dislike your cock-sucking ways, Tony. The day I can't point out your massive faggotry is the day I leave and don't come back.
I'm not sure they are, but at the same time, it's a breath of fresh air to hear something... normal here rather than the constant "da joooz are evil".
The Iranian regime generally does what it can get away with. It is fairly cautious in international affairs. You rarely see it go out on a limb. Even when they have cockamamie schemes like assassinating the Saudi ambassador in Washington, it's something they don't face any consequences for - so a good prediction as to what they could get away with.
I fear that this would only encourage them to actually go full steam ahead trying to get a nuke. Right now, they're in the sweet spot of "they can develop one if they want to, but won't because that would actually lead to backlash" (at least, in my judgment). An all-out attack might change that calculus.
The day you forget to point out my massive faggotry is the day you won't be allowed to come back.