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intentionally pick terrible candidates based purely on their loyalty to me and not their ability to win
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they all lose in the same election Florida republicans get a blowout red wave, and the margins on the losses closely align with my loss in 2020
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numerous easily winnable races go down in flames because the majority of voters just don't like me, and therefore I'm a drag on candidates
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red wave is completely blunted, entirely my fault, just like the losses in the GA special senate elections were entirely my fault, and what do I do in response?
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I tweet a brag post about how republican Joe O'Dea lost to a democrat, taking credit for sabotaging him and ensuring a Democrat got elected instead.
I don't care if you Trumpers downvote me. Donald Trump is at this point a clear enemy of the Republican Party. He is a loser who got lucky in 1 squeaker election in 2016 and then has been ballot box poison ever since. He lies about voter fraud when the truth all along is that he's just a loser and a bad politician. He is at this point a total liability for the Republican Party and needs to be shunned until he learns to behave as a team player. He is an electoral dead end. This election should have been a total red blowout and orange man ruined it. Elections are won by convincing the middle to vote for you, and the middle in the US hates Trump with a burning passion. They'll never switch their votes to voting for him. They wouldn't vote for him even when overrun with trannies, joggers, groomers, and inflation.
Meanwhile Ron DeSantis is the only success story of tonight, and his great campaign and political acumen resulted in a big red wave in Florida. He clearly proved that he is the future if the Right actually wants to win. DeSantis totally closed the gap among hispanic voters and took more than 50% of the hispanic vote, a historic first for a statewide republican.
Trump is at this point the best thing that ever happened to the Democrat Party. He's a proven loser who has accomplished nothing except to ensure Democrat win after Democrat win. And what's worse, is he brags about it and gloats about it because he doesn't give a slightest shit about the Right, he only cares about petty little ego shit.
Trump was not on the ballot. I have no idea why this happened, but abortion seems the likely culprit. Interestingly, Trump had the right instincts about that.
How come Trump - supposedly - dragged people down in Wisconsin but not Florida? It makes little sense.
Democrats ran against Trump
The biggest losers were hand-picked by Trump in primaries, and won because he personally endorsed them over better candidates, and these same candidates swore allegiance to Trump quite openly.
Democrats even threw millions of dollars of their own money to Trumper candidates in the hopes of having them win R primaries, knowing that they'd be weak and easy to beat in the general.
"Election denial" became a Trumper litmus test, and the Democrats made attacking claims the 2020 election was stolen their "closing argument" this past week.
Nope, if it was, we would not have seen the red surge in polling in Sept/Oct. We also know what issues mattered from polling, and abortion, while it spiked briefly in the summer, fell off dramatically by October, and went way down the list of voter priorities. Only about 30% of people cared about abortion, and that only represents the "always blue" Democrat faithful. Among swing voters, inflation and crime were their top issues.
Because everyone knows DeSantis is Trump's rival, and Trump stayed far away from the Florida races.
Trump had no impact in Wisconsin.
Wisconsin was down to incumbent effect. The interesting takeaways from the state was that Kenosha county and adjacent Racine county flipped from safe blue to mild red, while turnout in the Madison metro was very high.
The difference between the performance in Governor vs Senate was in the rural counties, where there's a general sense that the Evers is doing okay (better than Michigan anyway).
Johnson almost lost to a Defund the Police crazy (and the race still has not been called for him), even though he was a 2-term incumbent.
Could it be GOP complacency?
According to Cruz Republicans cut funding to several winnable races for absolutely no reason
The establishment GOP also has TDS.
Johnson outperformed Michels by something like 70k votes.
I've been looking over the historical numbers. The dynamics in Wisconsin were that Madison area had high turnout for an off year (almost certainly abortion effect) but that it still wasn't enough to outvote the rest of the state being red. But in the Governor race, it was that Michels simply ran behind Johnson in about every county. A few hundred here, a few hundred there, and it adds up.
Yeah, sure, but you can't explain dismal Republican performance by citing incumbency.
That makes sense.
I think that happened in a lot of places. Here in my state of Kansas, Republicans did extremely well in the State House, Moran absolutely skated to reelection in the Senate(over 60% of the vote), and the Republicans won every Executive office up for election, save perhaps Governor. Hell, Kobach managed to win AG, which was a real surprise for me. But if Kelly remains governor, I am not going to be totally surprised.
She managed to not do anything aggressively Left-Wing and avoided making many of the mistakes other Dem governors did during Covid (whether because she knew it wouldnt fly or because she actually didnt want to is unclear), and there was no real enthusiasm for Schmidt. So combine that and you get her squeaking out a win. in a damn near 50/50 heat, with the current chance she may still lose, barely. And once again will be kept in check by the overwhelming R majority in the State and the Executive.
Officially, he was not on the ballot. That said, virtually every D candidate ran ads saying "Oh no! Trumpers are coming to destroy everything!" and that's all the media would talk about. They did everything in their power to put Trump on the ballot. Though, I will agree abortion probably played a role too.
Question is if it had an effect. I don't think so. Trump purposefully kept himself in the background. And just looking at the exit polls, I see that those who hate both Trump and Biden voted GOP.
Abortion was a big issue and I guess the "democracy is on the ballot" motivated the democrats. Every election is the most important, every election "democracy is on the ballot" but it seems to still be working.
CNN was bemoaning that "democracy" (i.e., CNN telling you what to do and believe) was not a top 5 issue for voters.
It makes little sense, but the least unlikely scenario is that it was abortion (followed by fraud, and I'm not a 'MASSIVE FRAUD!!!!' kinda guy).
Didn't you just attack me for saying this?
No, I attack you for your insane rants about women.
But abortion voters and women are a circle in the Venn Diagram. The overlap is 100%.
Nobody who is not female votes according to their views on abortion.
Are you saying I cannot produce one person who voted on abortion who was not female?