What they're saying, basically, is that the unvaxxed are infectious and dangerous to the vaxxed.
But if the vax works, how is that possible? They're trying to show that the vax provides at least some protection, and they have to fabricate models to do so.
Remember, before Covid, when we had measles oubreaks the only people in danger were the immunocompromised? I guess that's everyone, now.
Simulate a vax that provides R 0.9 infection rate, so 1 person infects 0.9 who infects 0.81 who infects 0.73 ... or on average 9 total other people.
If the vaccinated only keep to themselves only 10 people get sick, but if they interact with the plague-bearers before they reach heard immunity each interaction could infect another 10.
Of course in reality the vaccine doesn't prevent infection it only delays it, so it's actually the opposite; unvaccinated who managed to skip it through herd immunity of their unvaccinated peers are at this time at risk of catching it from the vaccinated who are playing catch up on herd immunity.
This is the crux.
What they're saying, basically, is that the unvaxxed are infectious and dangerous to the vaxxed.
But if the vax works, how is that possible? They're trying to show that the vax provides at least some protection, and they have to fabricate models to do so.
Remember, before Covid, when we had measles oubreaks the only people in danger were the immunocompromised? I guess that's everyone, now.
Simulate a vax that provides R 0.9 infection rate, so 1 person infects 0.9 who infects 0.81 who infects 0.73 ... or on average 9 total other people.
If the vaccinated only keep to themselves only 10 people get sick, but if they interact with the plague-bearers before they reach heard immunity each interaction could infect another 10.
Of course in reality the vaccine doesn't prevent infection it only delays it, so it's actually the opposite; unvaccinated who managed to skip it through herd immunity of their unvaccinated peers are at this time at risk of catching it from the vaccinated who are playing catch up on herd immunity.