Iran knows that if they attack Israel to the same degree that Israel is attacking Iran then Israel-America will go all the way to Total War and Iran doesn't want Total War as there is a good chance Israel-America uses nukes on them and turns them to dust. Iran is taking the right approach which is to give the Israeli-Americans a way out by retaliating modestly to show some strength but not so much to cause Israel-American to go all-in.
The problem is that Israel-America haven't achieved much of anything and they already pulled the "we destroyed Iran's ability to get nukes" last time they attacked Iran. With the straight closed and Iran demanding reparations for the damages to its civilian facilities, there will be no end to the war though because Israel-America cannot claim any sort of victory. I get the impression Trump is already done with this war but doesn't know how to get out of it and save face.
Things aren't really looking good for de-escalation.
The only play I think Israel-America could make here is get Iran onboard with letting American companies rebuild the damages to their civilian facilities and agree to some foreign investment from the USA where the USA tries to play it up as a form of "surrender" from the Iranians and that the new regime is pro-America so Trump loosens some sanctions in "good faith" then all shake hands for the cameras and everyone forgets in 6 months where it's back to the status quo again.
The fact that any country would not only tolerate this behavior, but play along with as its best chance of survival, just shows Vae victis is alive and well and no amount of paper-waving lawfaggotry will change it.
I'm not sure I agree, it better highlights how without nukes, you don't really have sovereignty in modern times. If Iran had nukes, they could publicly declare if the USA or Israel attacks Iran, they will nuke Israel to dust and their sovereignty would be respected.
Iran has done significant damage to Israel-America's little middle-eastern empire. To say Iran is tolerating the Israeli-American behavior isn't quite accurate. They are acting like a country that wants to avoid a war but I've said this many times about Iran for years. Iran will never have peace until they nuke Israel to dust. For now, they're just delaying the inevitable.
No, depends on wind patterns. It's quite possible that Kuwait, Qatar UAE and Saudi Arabia are hit not necessarily any of the countries you listed. This would be a win for Iran. They can plan out the projected wind patterns and bomb at the right time.
Sometimes I just wish a massive earthquake or volcano would destroy the entire middle east. It would solve more problems than not...but even in that fantasy, the descendants of Isaac and Ishmael still exist everywhere else in the world and the war still wouldn't end.
America might be able to, but Israel does not stand a chance in a protracted war against Iran alone. They don't have the manpower nor the power projection.
If Israel got into a total war with Iran, the USA would jump to Israel's aid in a heartbeat. Congress would even officially declare war with 100% votes.
That would quickly trigger World War 3. I doubt we would be able to save Israel in time as Iran just unloads and wipes Israel off the map with shit tons of drones and missiles, crippling them as a country. If Israel responds with nukes, then they are likely to be nuked in turn by Pakistan or another great power, which would force US involvement, which will escalate into a nuclear war in worst case scenario.
Iran knows that if they attack Israel to the same degree that Israel is attacking Iran then Israel-America will go all the way to Total War and Iran doesn't want Total War as there is a good chance Israel-America uses nukes on them and turns them to dust. Iran is taking the right approach which is to give the Israeli-Americans a way out by retaliating modestly to show some strength but not so much to cause Israel-American to go all-in.
The problem is that Israel-America haven't achieved much of anything and they already pulled the "we destroyed Iran's ability to get nukes" last time they attacked Iran. With the straight closed and Iran demanding reparations for the damages to its civilian facilities, there will be no end to the war though because Israel-America cannot claim any sort of victory. I get the impression Trump is already done with this war but doesn't know how to get out of it and save face.
Things aren't really looking good for de-escalation.
The only play I think Israel-America could make here is get Iran onboard with letting American companies rebuild the damages to their civilian facilities and agree to some foreign investment from the USA where the USA tries to play it up as a form of "surrender" from the Iranians and that the new regime is pro-America so Trump loosens some sanctions in "good faith" then all shake hands for the cameras and everyone forgets in 6 months where it's back to the status quo again.
The fact that any country would not only tolerate this behavior, but play along with as its best chance of survival, just shows Vae victis is alive and well and no amount of paper-waving lawfaggotry will change it.
I'm not sure I agree, it better highlights how without nukes, you don't really have sovereignty in modern times. If Iran had nukes, they could publicly declare if the USA or Israel attacks Iran, they will nuke Israel to dust and their sovereignty would be respected.
Iran has done significant damage to Israel-America's little middle-eastern empire. To say Iran is tolerating the Israeli-American behavior isn't quite accurate. They are acting like a country that wants to avoid a war but I've said this many times about Iran for years. Iran will never have peace until they nuke Israel to dust. For now, they're just delaying the inevitable.
They could. But radioactive fallout would hit Lebanon, turkey, egypt, palestine and jordan.
No, depends on wind patterns. It's quite possible that Kuwait, Qatar UAE and Saudi Arabia are hit not necessarily any of the countries you listed. This would be a win for Iran. They can plan out the projected wind patterns and bomb at the right time.
It's always been the only real rule of war.
Sometimes I just wish a massive earthquake or volcano would destroy the entire middle east. It would solve more problems than not...but even in that fantasy, the descendants of Isaac and Ishmael still exist everywhere else in the world and the war still wouldn't end.
America might be able to, but Israel does not stand a chance in a protracted war against Iran alone. They don't have the manpower nor the power projection.
If Israel got into a total war with Iran, the USA would jump to Israel's aid in a heartbeat. Congress would even officially declare war with 100% votes.
That would quickly trigger World War 3. I doubt we would be able to save Israel in time as Iran just unloads and wipes Israel off the map with shit tons of drones and missiles, crippling them as a country. If Israel responds with nukes, then they are likely to be nuked in turn by Pakistan or another great power, which would force US involvement, which will escalate into a nuclear war in worst case scenario.
I know, which is why Iran doesn't want it and the USA doesn't want it but Israel is run by jews, so they probably want WWIII.