Even with BSW in, CDU-SPD would have enough IMHO. Sure, it's just short of the majority but what are the odds the far left Greens and Linke would ever vote with the AfD? I also cannot imagine a coalition of CDU-SPD-Greens/Linke would last. That'd be political suicide for the CDU. Maybe CDU-SPD-BSW. Don't know if the CDU would consider that or if the BSW would.
Even with BSW in, CDU-SPD would have enough IMHO. Sure, it's just short of the majority but what are the odds the far left Greens and Linke would ever vote with the AfD?
I hope you're not too discouraged. They'll do whatever is in their interests, and if that requires voting alongside the AFD on no confidence, they'll do it. "We can't let our position on issues be determined by these NAZIS" they'll say.
I have a hard time imagining a situation where that would come up.
Looking at the CDU's actions whenever they're in power (whether that's back under Merkel or to this day in multiple state governments) they're almost completely aligned with the far left. Actions speak louder than Merz' empty words.
Plus, they would have to appease the SPD who are barely any less extreme than the other far left parties.
"We can't let our position on issues be determined by these NAZIS" they'll say.
Nah. (Okay my example is SPD, but...)
SPD didn't push to vote (something they wanted to push through), cause they feared random votes of the AfD tipping the scales to a "wIn"
"Die Initiatorinnen teilten im Anschluss an die Anhörung mit, sie strebten eine Abstimmung "nur mit einer klaren demokratischen Mehrheit" an. Ohne Unterstützung von Union und FDP riskiere man eine Zufallsmehrheit mit Stimmen der AfD. "Diese rote Linie überschreiten wir nicht", sagte die SPD-Abgeordnete Carmen Wegge." src
Yea, guess we'll see tomorrow.
Even with BSW in, CDU-SPD would have enough IMHO. Sure, it's just short of the majority but what are the odds the far left Greens and Linke would ever vote with the AfD? I also cannot imagine a coalition of CDU-SPD-Greens/Linke would last. That'd be political suicide for the CDU. Maybe CDU-SPD-BSW. Don't know if the CDU would consider that or if the BSW would.
I hope you're not too discouraged. They'll do whatever is in their interests, and if that requires voting alongside the AFD on no confidence, they'll do it. "We can't let our position on issues be determined by these NAZIS" they'll say.
I have a hard time imagining a situation where that would come up.
Looking at the CDU's actions whenever they're in power (whether that's back under Merkel or to this day in multiple state governments) they're almost completely aligned with the far left. Actions speak louder than Merz' empty words.
Plus, they would have to appease the SPD who are barely any less extreme than the other far left parties.
Nah. (Okay my example is SPD, but...)
SPD didn't push to vote (something they wanted to push through), cause they feared random votes of the AfD tipping the scales to a "wIn"
"Die Initiatorinnen teilten im Anschluss an die Anhörung mit, sie strebten eine Abstimmung "nur mit einer klaren demokratischen Mehrheit" an. Ohne Unterstützung von Union und FDP riskiere man eine Zufallsmehrheit mit Stimmen der AfD. "Diese rote Linie überschreiten wir nicht", sagte die SPD-Abgeordnete Carmen Wegge." src