The past election had them at a historic low. But yes, they have had a rise in the past few weeks, which is partly why the (much better) BSW is at risk of falling under the electoral threshold.
It seems that ARD and ZDF disagree slightly, but with major consequences for this party. ARD was already projecting 4.9% when I saw it, but the ZDF one was slightly more recent.
Even with BSW in, CDU-SPD would have enough IMHO. Sure, it's just short of the majority but what are the odds the far left Greens and Linke would ever vote with the AfD? I also cannot imagine a coalition of CDU-SPD-Greens/Linke would last. That'd be political suicide for the CDU. Maybe CDU-SPD-BSW. Don't know if the CDU would consider that or if the BSW would.
Even with BSW in, CDU-SPD would have enough IMHO. Sure, it's just short of the majority but what are the odds the far left Greens and Linke would ever vote with the AfD?
I hope you're not too discouraged. They'll do whatever is in their interests, and if that requires voting alongside the AFD on no confidence, they'll do it. "We can't let our position on issues be determined by these NAZIS" they'll say.
The past election had them at a historic low. But yes, they have had a rise in the past few weeks, which is partly why the (much better) BSW is at risk of falling under the electoral threshold.
A slightly more recent projection has BSW at 4,9%: https://assets.jungefreiheit.de/2025/02/WhatsApp-Image-2025-02-23-at-21.37.41.jpeg
It seems that ARD and ZDF disagree slightly, but with major consequences for this party. ARD was already projecting 4.9% when I saw it, but the ZDF one was slightly more recent.
As of 21:46, it's still at 5% according to ZDF - and thus probably making CDU-SPD impossible if it holds.
Yea, guess we'll see tomorrow.
Even with BSW in, CDU-SPD would have enough IMHO. Sure, it's just short of the majority but what are the odds the far left Greens and Linke would ever vote with the AfD? I also cannot imagine a coalition of CDU-SPD-Greens/Linke would last. That'd be political suicide for the CDU. Maybe CDU-SPD-BSW. Don't know if the CDU would consider that or if the BSW would.
I hope you're not too discouraged. They'll do whatever is in their interests, and if that requires voting alongside the AFD on no confidence, they'll do it. "We can't let our position on issues be determined by these NAZIS" they'll say.