South Korean president is attempting a coup d'etat
(www.reuters.com)
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Yeah, problem is that's working off the CURRENT paradigm, that only lasts another one and a half months.
Notice how China changed tone with Trump announced back in as president and you seem to be working off the NORTH attacking first since if the South just straight up bombs the hell out of a lot of stuff stationed on the border that might tilt things a bit. The South has a ton of manufacturing at home but additionally have manufacturing outside their country too so you can't shut it all down.
Personal take, a lot of these regimes like North Korea and some extent Russia and China prefer stability and if North Korea can do a deal with Trump to make sure they stay in charge but not a target, they'll take it given the constant food issues they have.
And judging by North Korean soldiers in Ukraine, they're not exactly commandos...
I'm not working off any such thing.
I'm entertaining possibilities in the face of shifting current events. The world stands on the brink of a new world war, after all. Sizing up the players is hardly a bad idea.
And the various parties and vassal states of clown world aren't looking good.
Personally I'd say that what's going on right now in SK is a preemptive strike against a color revolution. But it's still developing events.
Well, the situation we're talking about is unfolding right now, and coups tend to move fast one way or another. What other paradigm would be relevant?