Trump's "airport stop" campaign method makes it pretty easy to play the whole table. There's no reason not to hit everything when you're going to be out-appearing your opponent many times over.
This election is a referendum on Biden's economy, and I believe there's no way Trump can lose in that regard. There is literally nothing Biden can do to solve the immediate economic problems which he's being dinged for, which is that housing is too expensive and wages aren't keeping pace with perceived inflation.
You will be in a shock this November if you think Trump is guaranteed to win this election.
The election will not be a referendum on Biden's economic failures when his opponent is Donald Trump.
The Biden campaign can easily use Trump to win re-election even with a pisspoor economy.
There are many people in this country who hate Trump so much that they will vote Biden again just to stop Trump.
Trump is an uniquely hated figure in America.
The media demonizes any Republican candidate but there has and there will never be anyone as hated as Trump by such a large swathe of the electorate.
He has some GOP voters that love him but there is a larger portion of the country that will sacrifice their own children to stop him.
You don't understand what people in suburban areas feel about him.
He is generally only loved in rural areas.
Trump absolutely can lose this election if he is not focused on running a smart campaign.
A smart campaign focuses on the swing states and hammers Biden on immigration, the economy and crime not rehashing the stolen election of 2020 or Trump's court cases. Trump can win only by hammering the issues in the right places not wasting time in places like NY, NJ.
People here are in a bubble if they expect Trump to win easily.
It is not necessary to flip voters from Biden to Trump. It's only necessary to flip them from Biden to didn't-bother-to-vote.
This is a "this guy sucks" election cycle (ironically just like 2020 was), and for that to work all you need is a LOT of really bad news that can be dumped on the president's doorstep.
It cost them downballot races in 2021 for various city and district attorney positions. Seattle elected their first republican in who knows how long. Similar situation in Long Island.
Do you live in Wisconsin? No? Then don't tell me how you think the vote is going to go in Wisconsin. Trump lost Wisconsin because of COVID.
And that's a horse I won't stop kicking. Trump's COVID response destroyed Trump. It was a "this guy sucks" election, and it was true. Trump was fucked in Wisconsin the second his COVID policy meant no Packers tailgating.
And this is ALSO a "this guy sucks" election.
What happened to you OTP? You used to be a lot better than this.
I cannot wait to see the copium from people here when he loses the swing states he needs to win the electoral college and Trump only does a percent better in these blue states.
This is the most delusional campaign Trump has ever run.
His 2016 campaign was realistic. His 2020 campaign was mediocre but nowhere near as delusional as his current 2024 campaign.
I think Trump loses to Biden and the electoral map will be worse for him this time versus 2020.
I think Trump loses all of the states he lost in 2020 plus loses NC and maybe even loses Texas
I think the GOP will certainly lose the House.
The Senate is the only thing I am somewhat optimistic about.
It all depends on Ted Cruz winning again in TX and Tim Sheehy beating Jon Tester.
Bernie Moreno is a terrible candidate and will likely lose to Sherrod Brown in OH. Trump endorsed the weakest GOP candidate running for OH Senate. Frank LaRose is the best option out of Moreno and Dolan. If Trump endorses last time loser Matt Rosendale for Montana Senate, then the Senate will remain in Dem hands.
It Trump ran a focused smart campaign on real issues that matter to regular people like stopping illegal immigration at the Southern Border, how he will improve our terrible economy and how he will stop the crime wave and he also focused all of his time and money on only the swing states then yeah he could win.
Trump is not doing any of what is necessary to win a general election.
Trump's legal team has unqualified lawyers like Alina Habba who cannot fight back properly against the barrage of Democrat lawfare.
Trump also says he will be wasting time and money campaigning in blue states.
Right now he is objectively on the path to losing in Nov of 2024.
Trump's "airport stop" campaign method makes it pretty easy to play the whole table. There's no reason not to hit everything when you're going to be out-appearing your opponent many times over.
This election is a referendum on Biden's economy, and I believe there's no way Trump can lose in that regard. There is literally nothing Biden can do to solve the immediate economic problems which he's being dinged for, which is that housing is too expensive and wages aren't keeping pace with perceived inflation.
You will be in a shock this November if you think Trump is guaranteed to win this election.
The election will not be a referendum on Biden's economic failures when his opponent is Donald Trump.
The Biden campaign can easily use Trump to win re-election even with a pisspoor economy.
There are many people in this country who hate Trump so much that they will vote Biden again just to stop Trump.
Trump is an uniquely hated figure in America.
The media demonizes any Republican candidate but there has and there will never be anyone as hated as Trump by such a large swathe of the electorate.
He has some GOP voters that love him but there is a larger portion of the country that will sacrifice their own children to stop him.
You don't understand what people in suburban areas feel about him.
He is generally only loved in rural areas.
Trump absolutely can lose this election if he is not focused on running a smart campaign.
A smart campaign focuses on the swing states and hammers Biden on immigration, the economy and crime not rehashing the stolen election of 2020 or Trump's court cases. Trump can win only by hammering the issues in the right places not wasting time in places like NY, NJ.
People here are in a bubble if they expect Trump to win easily.
In my experience the more lines of reasons people type, the more they're trying to convince themselves.
I gave you a detailed explanation of why I think something will happen.
If you want to ignore it and make a snide comment about it because it conflicts with your assumptions then go right ahead.
I don't need to convince anyone.
My predictions are clearly described here.
Let's both come back in November and we will see who was more correct about what really happens
Your predictions are juvenile. There are four things that Biden cannot stop:
None of these four things overrides the large portion of people who hate Trump foremost.
You think everyone is a rational voter and that everyone votes based on issues. That is far from reality.
Let's both come back in November and we will see who was more correct about what really happens
And you think voting is zero sum.
It is not necessary to flip voters from Biden to Trump. It's only necessary to flip them from Biden to didn't-bother-to-vote.
This is a "this guy sucks" election cycle (ironically just like 2020 was), and for that to work all you need is a LOT of really bad news that can be dumped on the president's doorstep.
Maybe he is hoping some batshit leftist will do something stupid (riots, assaults) that will end up making him climb in the polls
How did the BLM riots work out for the Democrats?
Democrat violence doesn't help the GOP win any elections.
It only scares the suburbs into voting against Trump.
Many people wrongfully think the chaos just magically goes away if Trump loses.
This is what conservatives are up against.
Trump going into blue areas is an awful idea that helps the left.
He should focus on the swing states not blue shitholes.
It cost them downballot races in 2021 for various city and district attorney positions. Seattle elected their first republican in who knows how long. Similar situation in Long Island.
Did the Dems lose any swing state in the presidential election?
Nope
Suburban areas in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania that experienced BLM violence voted more for Biden than they did for Hillary in 2016.
Do you live in Wisconsin? No? Then don't tell me how you think the vote is going to go in Wisconsin. Trump lost Wisconsin because of COVID.
And that's a horse I won't stop kicking. Trump's COVID response destroyed Trump. It was a "this guy sucks" election, and it was true. Trump was fucked in Wisconsin the second his COVID policy meant no Packers tailgating.
And this is ALSO a "this guy sucks" election.
What happened to you OTP? You used to be a lot better than this.
I don't need to live in Wisconsin to look at the election data and analyze it for 2020.
Trump lost the swing states including Wisconsin in 2020 over three reasons:
Trump's bad Covid response
That covid response let Democrats abuse mass mail in ballots
BLM riots motivated Democrats and scared suburbs to vote Dem to end the chaos
It was a mixture of all of these reasons.
I never said he lost Wisconsin just over the BLM riots. I said that it didn't help him.
Nothing happened to me. I still say it like I see it.
Right, so... I am in Wisconsin. I know the mood in Wisconsin. Trump is going to win Wisconsin in 2024.
So don't sit there and shit out this stupid doom and gloom story when even progressive news says Trump is leading in 6 battlegrounds.
All you're doing is farming downvotes from people who are sick of your negativity.
I think Trump will lose the state in 2024 and also lose other swing states.
You think he wins the state in 2024 and also wins the general election.
Let's come back this November and we will see who was right.
Even a moderate like Lee Zeldin couldn't win New York against a terrible candidate like Kathy Hochul.
This is a waste of his time and money.
I cannot wait to see the copium from people here when he loses the swing states he needs to win the electoral college and Trump only does a percent better in these blue states.
This is the most delusional campaign Trump has ever run.
His 2016 campaign was realistic. His 2020 campaign was mediocre but nowhere near as delusional as his current 2024 campaign.
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My prediction for the 2024 election:
I think Trump loses to Biden and the electoral map will be worse for him this time versus 2020.
I think Trump loses all of the states he lost in 2020 plus loses NC and maybe even loses Texas
I think the GOP will certainly lose the House.
The Senate is the only thing I am somewhat optimistic about.
It all depends on Ted Cruz winning again in TX and Tim Sheehy beating Jon Tester. Bernie Moreno is a terrible candidate and will likely lose to Sherrod Brown in OH. Trump endorsed the weakest GOP candidate running for OH Senate. Frank LaRose is the best option out of Moreno and Dolan. If Trump endorses last time loser Matt Rosendale for Montana Senate, then the Senate will remain in Dem hands.
It is really not dooming to realize the impending shitshow that is coming when you see Trump keep making bad decisions one after another.
Trump will likely foolishly choose some establishment clown as his V.P.
He will lose 2024 and the Democrats will viciously imprison him on some bullshit charges.
He is likely going to die in prison and it will be a shock to people here who think Trump is going to win in a landslide this November.
The only reason he won in '16 was that the elites didn't take him seriously enough in time to cheat.
They will do anything short of physical violence to him to assure he loses.
It doesn't matter how much leftists fuck up the country. They control the culture
It Trump ran a focused smart campaign on real issues that matter to regular people like stopping illegal immigration at the Southern Border, how he will improve our terrible economy and how he will stop the crime wave and he also focused all of his time and money on only the swing states then yeah he could win.
Trump is not doing any of what is necessary to win a general election.
Trump's legal team has unqualified lawyers like Alina Habba who cannot fight back properly against the barrage of Democrat lawfare.
Trump also says he will be wasting time and money campaigning in blue states.
Right now he is objectively on the path to losing in Nov of 2024.