For me, I don't think he has a chance (because basically only regime-approved candidates do), but I'd be happy in the impossible case that he defeated Biden, because he seems like a decent fellow if a bit naive sometimes.
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I'm increasingly becoming convinced that Trump's primary fuck-up was not saying "let's burn this motherfucker down" on day 1. Instead, he thought he was dealing with people who could be reasoned and bargained with in good faith, behaved accordingly, and got burned by it.
Trump’s primary fuck-up was trusting Republicans.