Possible scenario by 2030?
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This is Russia's Winter War. They're figuring out what is wrong with their military to fix the issues.
Not what's happening. Into Finland they didn't even send the paratroops, for example, meanwhile here https://kotakuinaction2.win/p/142ArgpjN5/x/c/4OUhJU9xFqb
Too little bodies to throw at other nations?