I rate this 9 Pearl Harbors out of 11
(twitter.com)
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I think their undoing here is that they were so autistically focused on getting rid of Trump that they forgot to do anything to secure power at a more local and state level. Because the US was founded by a bunch of gigabrains that were so distrustful of government that they came up with backups to their alternates for their contingency plans. So now you have a bunch of states (almost the majority even) telling the Fed "Kiss my ass" and actively declaring war on Left Wing ideals, and finding any way they can to make life hell for them at a local level. Which, due to the nature of our government, WILL work its way up to the Federal level. The GOPe outing themselves for the base to see as a bunch of snakes (going so far as to put their votes on the record as if to say "Primary these guys") will also not help them, as like you have pointed out in the past, the GOP was supposed to be fake opposition, but it is now being taken over by very real opposition and there isnt a whole hell of a lot they can do to stop it.
They have also managed to piss the grassroots of the GOP off to such an extent that they are actually extremely enthusiastic about campaigning and getting out the vote, to the point that some of the most well funded people in Congress right now are the ones the Establishment hates (Greene and Gaetz, specifically). It would seem the attempt at a show of force in the aftermath of 1/6 has only made those targeted more hostile instead of less, and like you said, this is far outside the establishments modus operandi when dealing with the Right, so they dont know what to do.
I think the truly shocking aspect to them is the lack of obedience.
My governor had mandatory lockdowns in place for months, but (as I suggested when I advocate Civil Disobedience) people just didn't listen. A full on travel ban past 11:00 PM, and I drove home at midnight watching commercial trucks driving down the interstate.
There's a quiet terror of the establishment saying things, and then nothing happening. That is the true, and most dangerous, revolution. Power is illusory, and when you point a gun at someone and tell them to do something, and they ignore you and walk away, you really don't have any additional options.
They are so used to getting what they want, and there are many die-hard loyalists, but there seems to be an ever-growing silent revolution of people simply rejecting their statements and de-legitimizing them. Unlike Trump and open dissenters, there's nothing to even fight against.
What the 1/6 viking raiders were, as far as anyone can tell, were all the people in blue states that were so outraged about their treatment they took matters into their own hands. The red states didn't show up.
From my counter-insurgency perspective, that should be ringing alarm bells. All of 1/6 was blowback, and you have absolutely no control over the red-states to receive blowback from. Your position is one of incredible weakness and vulnerability... which is also why they are over-reacting.