I've never been more sus of graphs in general. I've seen too many average temperature graphs that only run ten years yet try to forecast the next hundred years; not to mention they forecast on trend lines only and not actual planetary conditions and events. I've seen graphs of stocks "nosediving" where the Y-axis bounds are between 90 and 120 points.
Far too much stock is taken in "normal" temperature anyway. The local news said today's high temp would be "almost normal." That would still make it abnormal, so I should panic. And if it's 80 degrees in Podunk on May 25 2000, why should it have to be 80 degrees on May 25 2030?
Reading the comments in Dr. Roy Spencer's blog, I'm convinced climatologists aren't anywhere near as capable of predicting climate as people give them credit for. Put a dozen in a room and you won't find any two who agree on everything.
I've never been more sus of graphs in general. I've seen too many average temperature graphs that only run ten years yet try to forecast the next hundred years; not to mention they forecast on trend lines only and not actual planetary conditions and events. I've seen graphs of stocks "nosediving" where the Y-axis bounds are between 90 and 120 points.
Far too much stock is taken in "normal" temperature anyway. The local news said today's high temp would be "almost normal." That would still make it abnormal, so I should panic. And if it's 80 degrees in Podunk on May 25 2000, why should it have to be 80 degrees on May 25 2030?
Reading the comments in Dr. Roy Spencer's blog, I'm convinced climatologists aren't anywhere near as capable of predicting climate as people give them credit for. Put a dozen in a room and you won't find any two who agree on everything.
/vent