The anti-guillotine
(media.scored.co)
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There are several orders of magnitude difference in the difficulty between drawing a picture, and connecting a new sensor into a automated system, integrating the sensor data into the system processes, and then integrating the system processes into the autonomy layer.
If my job is ever replaced by AI, the person using the AI to do it will have to be someone like me. A layperson wouldn't even know where to begin.
Nah, the layperson will just tell an AI what they want and it can work out all the details, calling on other AI agents if it wants. Doesn't matter if what you're talking about is several orders of magnitude harder, the exponential development of AI will get there quite soon.
You are talking out of your ass. You don't know shit about AI, you don't know shit about automation, and you don't know shit about autonomy. I would bet a hefty amount that you don't even have a college degree in a real subject.
You are a perfect example of the average person who gets their knowledge from tv shows and movies. Tv shows and movies that were written by even bigger idiots who don't know shit about shit. You know they don't know shit about shit when they cover a topic you are well versed on, but somehow allow your Gell Man amnesia to convince you that they are speaking the gospel about everything else.
Vibe coded software creates a bloated buggy mess, yet AI will be cranking out working industrial control systems any day now. Uh huh, sure. And the next meme coin will be the one to finally go to the moon too.
Vibe coding may be bad but it is light years ahead of any pathetic attempt AI could make at writing code 5 years ago. It's actual functional for fairly basic applications. Nothing else you said was right either except about script writers.
My theory is that robot tech will "plateau" and stay relatively stable for decades. Sort of like cars are now. Sure the 2020's cars are different than the 1960's ones, but not a whole lot has changed. Big heavy muscle cars? Ford F-150s :/ Improvements within the existing tech as opposed to an evolution like EVs replacing the ICE.
Why restrict tech advances in robotics? The (hundreds of) millions of robots already made would become obsolete & the billionaires wouldn't like that. Replacing them every decade would be brutal to the bottom line. Plus the higher-tech ones would overpower the existing ones, making robotic security very flimsy.
So, plateau. Plus reality may cause that too. Liquid metal? Nah, unlikely.