Its TACO Tuesday (Trump always Chickens out)
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How the fuck is that even possible?!? Israel has:
• Turned Gaza into a parking lot
• Bombed the shit out of Lebanon
• Ensured the formally tied to Iran Assad lost power in Syria
Do they go through Egypt or Jordan? How can they launch a ground invasion when EVERY friendly force around Israel has already been greatly reduced?
Also, power projecting an entire ground war against a country that is a giant fortress (ignoring US support) through at least two countries that are at best indifferent seems incredibly taxing.
Iraq, then Syria/Jordan, then Israel.
Jordan isn't going to agree to that, and invading them as well is a good way to get American boots on the ground. Syria is less risky in that regard but it would be logistical nightmare now that Assad is gone. All this is assuming that Iraq is a cakewalk which is a less than sure bet. There's also the matter of Israel's nukes...
They'd possibly be ambushed by ISIS remnants and local militia in Syria, because they backed Assad previously.
Jordan probably wants no part and tell them to go around and not try to go through them.
And this is all assuming Mossad didn't find out and they aren't under constant airstrikes since they're willing to strike inside Iraq, them travelling under any open ground is a death sentence.
It's all speculative.
What is true though is Iran has a significant man-power advantage. It's their only advantage. The USA would have a hard time rallying the manpower to counter a ground invasion. Best they could do is constant airstrikes and that would have been difficult two-weeks ago because they used a lot of their ammo. Israel is TIRED from Gaza and not in a position to defend a serious ground invasion. They'd get defectors FOR SURE. That's Iran's only advantage. If Iran sits in their bunkers, they're toast. Israel-America has far deeper supply-chains and resources than Iran and sitting around exchanging missiles benefits Israel-America more than it does Iran. There's many factors at play. No one has initiated a ground invasion of a nuclear power. Would Israel nuke them? Would Pakistan nuke in return if Iran is nuked?
All I'm saying is Iran is currently playing into the advantages of Israel-America rather than bringing the war to Israel-America in a manner that is to Iran's advantage. This means Iran loses. There's no winning scenario for Iran if they maintain this missile/drone exchange and if they just sit around waiting. The longer they wait without doing anything themselves the more it helps Israel-America.
Why is Israel-America extending the ceasefire? It's because it helps Israel-America more than it helps Iran.
I'm just picturing any attempts of a ground invasion at this point would look like a second 'road of death' like in the Gulf war.
Iran would've been able to use their advantage in manpower if they were positioned BEFORE the war. Doing that now? They'd be just wasting resources.