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31
Its TACO Tuesday (Trump always Chickens out) (twitter.com)
posted 43 days ago by SophiesBoyfriend 43 days ago by SophiesBoyfriend +31 / -0
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– CaptainTrouble 2 points 43 days ago +2 / -0

Iraq, then Syria/Jordan, then Israel.

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▲ 4 ▼
– TheOutlaw 4 points 43 days ago +4 / -0

Jordan isn't going to agree to that, and invading them as well is a good way to get American boots on the ground. Syria is less risky in that regard but it would be logistical nightmare now that Assad is gone. All this is assuming that Iraq is a cakewalk which is a less than sure bet. There's also the matter of Israel's nukes...

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▲ 3 ▼
– SocraticMethod1 3 points 43 days ago +3 / -0

They'd possibly be ambushed by ISIS remnants and local militia in Syria, because they backed Assad previously.

Jordan probably wants no part and tell them to go around and not try to go through them.

And this is all assuming Mossad didn't find out and they aren't under constant airstrikes since they're willing to strike inside Iraq, them travelling under any open ground is a death sentence.

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▲ 2 ▼
– CaptainTrouble 2 points 43 days ago +2 / -0

It's all speculative.

What is true though is Iran has a significant man-power advantage. It's their only advantage. The USA would have a hard time rallying the manpower to counter a ground invasion. Best they could do is constant airstrikes and that would have been difficult two-weeks ago because they used a lot of their ammo. Israel is TIRED from Gaza and not in a position to defend a serious ground invasion. They'd get defectors FOR SURE. That's Iran's only advantage. If Iran sits in their bunkers, they're toast. Israel-America has far deeper supply-chains and resources than Iran and sitting around exchanging missiles benefits Israel-America more than it does Iran. There's many factors at play. No one has initiated a ground invasion of a nuclear power. Would Israel nuke them? Would Pakistan nuke in return if Iran is nuked?

All I'm saying is Iran is currently playing into the advantages of Israel-America rather than bringing the war to Israel-America in a manner that is to Iran's advantage. This means Iran loses. There's no winning scenario for Iran if they maintain this missile/drone exchange and if they just sit around waiting. The longer they wait without doing anything themselves the more it helps Israel-America.

Why is Israel-America extending the ceasefire? It's because it helps Israel-America more than it helps Iran.

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▲ 3 ▼
– SocraticMethod1 3 points 43 days ago +3 / -0

I'm just picturing any attempts of a ground invasion at this point would look like a second 'road of death' like in the Gulf war.

Iran would've been able to use their advantage in manpower if they were positioned BEFORE the war. Doing that now? They'd be just wasting resources.

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▲ 1 ▼
– CaptainTrouble 1 point 43 days ago +1 / -0

I still think they could use it. Even a bluff on a ground invasion to Saudi Arabia through Iraq to bolster their negotiation position. Anything... Iran has nothing going for them. 50% of their power projection is gone. Another month and that's game over. But you are right, Iran already fucked up when they let Syria get taken over by Israel and Palestine and Lebanon. They should have been more actively involved years ago. Iran doesn't appear to be very smart to me.

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