They had a surefire shot in the mid 2000s (not sure why they didnt make a move). They probably would have won in the 2010s. But Taiwan's defense is too solid now, China would need to bombard the island for months and even there, a landing is not really possible.
Taiwan's defense against invasion is top notch. Also, semiconductors. If Taiwan destroys its factories (which it will if it starts losing) the world is literally fucked, way more than some strait in the middle of nowhere)
You are correct, IMO. China can't take Taiwan through military. They're going to engage in informational warfare until there's enough people in Taiwan who want to be part of China and buy the politicians off. Taiwan will "willingly" join China in time. The weaker the West gets, the easier it is for China to accomplish this goal.
The only issue with that is that Taiwan KNOWS what is going on, they saw what happened to Hong Kong, they know about social credit and all that bullshit, and population will not get gobbled up easily.
a lot of our weapons are being used up in ukraine and iran... china would be idiots to NOT attack and take taiwan.
China cannot take Taiwan.
They had a surefire shot in the mid 2000s (not sure why they didnt make a move). They probably would have won in the 2010s. But Taiwan's defense is too solid now, China would need to bombard the island for months and even there, a landing is not really possible.
Taiwan's defense against invasion is top notch. Also, semiconductors. If Taiwan destroys its factories (which it will if it starts losing) the world is literally fucked, way more than some strait in the middle of nowhere)
You are correct, IMO. China can't take Taiwan through military. They're going to engage in informational warfare until there's enough people in Taiwan who want to be part of China and buy the politicians off. Taiwan will "willingly" join China in time. The weaker the West gets, the easier it is for China to accomplish this goal.
The only issue with that is that Taiwan KNOWS what is going on, they saw what happened to Hong Kong, they know about social credit and all that bullshit, and population will not get gobbled up easily.