Something that strikes me as really weird about the AI age that we're in is we all know we've entered it, but no one was aware when we entered it.
It was like a time jump.
Two years ago we were mocking AI videos for their crappiness, speculating that AI may or may not be all they're saying it's cracked up to be.
And now, we're in solid "AI is terrifying and I can't imagine the dystopia someone born today is going to grow up in regarding the all encompassing nature of AI"
And it's like having a black out when drunk. One minute you're in a bar. The next minute you're behind bars for public intoxication and you didn't remember anything in between.
That's how it feels with the AI thing.
Of course we always had trepidations from early on, but unlike certain ages, the age of woke, the age of covidians, the age of seeing the extent of the brainwashing, there were solid markers of "we were there, and now we're here and here's what led to that."
But with AI, I don't know if it's similar to you, but it was like a realtime mandella effect where suddenly we're in the AI age and it felt just like yesterday we were mocking the "Will Smith eats spaghetti" and there doesn't seem to be a clear moment where everyone took AI for the serious existential threat that it is....it just happened, like a black out from drinking. It's a very strange feeling.
Capacity and Framework. They alternate. This time was a framework bottleneck that was broken by the development of transformers.
Now we find capacity lagging which is why Computer hardware has spiked.
"Novel" is a word with shifting meaning. AI is always the domain of the novel. In 1997 Deep Blue defeating Kasparov was cutting edge AI. Now it's just a computer chess algorithm.
The bar for "truely creative" is already rising, and is reaching the point where we will start to have to dismiss a large number of humans as incapable of creativity.
Not that what you're saying is incorrect, this is just a domain where definitions shift as State of the Art does, and you need to pay attention to how if you want an accurate perspective.
I know that, and you know that. But good luck getting the normies to admit that. It punches a lot of holes it what the common culture believes, or is at least taught, so admitting it is inconvenient enough to be painful on a psychic level for them.
I recently read about a billion-dollar Ai playing chess against a TRS-80 (or something from that era) chess program. Ai lost every match, it never learned anything.