Sure, but I'm responding to someone who seems oh so certain that it must be for insider trading. If there was some insider trading going on, I wouldn't be shocked. It's certainly greater than a 0% chance, perhaps even over 25%. But given the competing explanations and weak circumstantial evidence, I see no reason to think it's more than that, but that can always change. And of course, rogue insider trading wouldn't immediately imply systemic, intentional, sanctioned insider trading. Which is what that user was clearly insinuating is happening.
Sure, but I'm responding to someone who seems oh so certain that it must be for insider trading. If there was some insider trading going on, I wouldn't be shocked. It's certainly greater than a 0% chance, perhaps even over 25%. But given the competing explanations and weak circumstantial evidence, I see no reason to think it's more than that, but that can always change. And of course, rogue insider trading wouldn't immediately imply systemic, intentional, sanctioned insider trading. Which is what that user was clearly insinuating is happening.
Your views are reasonable. It's unreasonable to claim that it's definitely not happening or that it's definitely happening.