Candace still running with the israel killed kirk theory
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Some people spend as much time obsessing over Israel as they do breathing, constantly looking for hidden code words and secret signals that prove the Mossad is behind every single thing that happens in the world. If there's the tiniest angle that might be a way to connect something to what they think Israel is, their mind latches on and won't let go no matter what.
You're not completely wrong, but there is some small amount of circumstantial evidence. One is that Kirk had started becoming increasingly critical of Israel. Two, there were some comments from before the assassination claiming that Israel threatened to kill him. Three, how professionally this was done, and how the shooter got away - at least initially. That was the time when I wondered if it could be Israel.
Of course, this isn't very strong evidence. I'd say maybe 1-2% chance that Israel was involved.
You can find circumstantial evidence for anything if you're looking for it. Going from "he said things that were critical of Israel recently" to "the Mossad plotted to murder Charlie Kirk" is totally insane behavior, absolutely no connection to reality whatsoever. A real Mossad hit looks like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Mahmoud_Al-Mabhouh, not a guy shooting a guy in broad daylight and then sending a Discord message to his gay roommate to make a 4 hour drive to pick up the gun.
If you say with certainty that they did it, that is crazy.
On the other hand, are you saying that you are absolutely sure that they had no involvement? There is more circumstantial evidence than there is for Russher or Burkina Faso, don't you agree?
There's more circumstantial evidence that it was a Ukrainian operation against a guy on their official government kill list, if you want to go that way.