I think it will be Newsom. It could be AOC if the Democrats past two nominations didn’t lose. What other options if it’s not newsom or AOC? Who will be VP? (that’s a much harder guess)
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Not always. Wasn't Obama essentially a nobody before the primary season for the 2008 election? Came out of nowhere, but had enough deep state support that he swept through the competition with his 90%+ positive media coverage.
Also, black.