New NPC talking point just dropped
(media.kotakuinaction2.win)
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If it doesn't devolve into anything more than that, then it isn't functionally much different than a couple incidents during his first term. Just much more risky given the specific contexts, but if the risk doesnt bloom into anything particularly harmful then it's pretty much the same in the end.
Very worrying state of affairs but functionally speaking we are not past the point of no return for this becoming a debilitating and drawn out conflict.
Edit: To be clear, there is realistically some level of trust it will be hard for him to ever win back after this. Unless he directly goes against Israel's interests, people will rightly assess that he is partial to them or compromised by them in some way.
This might lead Iran to actually try to get a nuclear weapon. It might lead to Iran becoming a failed state, destbilizing the region even further, and sending 10 million 'refugees' to Europe... destroying the continent.
It's different from joining in the free for all melee that was Syria, already a failed state.
Sure, that can all be covered by "risk" but it isn't possible to judge the result of that right now. That being said, highly unlikely for Iran to collapse unless this escalates significantly and becomes a very drawn out conflict. Of course, many are frothing at the mouth for that exact outcome and orange man has done little to inspire belief that he won't listen to them.
Realistically, Iran has always been highly incentivized to get nuclear weapons, and the last couple weeks has only made that incentive greater.
At this point it may be better for everyone involved if they do have them, sadly. Except Israel but they can get bent at this point.
I'm not as confident in my prediction skills, or yours. It seems to me that Israel wants to make Iran a failed state like Libya, one that it can invade and bomb with impunity as it does with Syria. Things will go very bad when that happens in a country of 90 million (sry Ted).
I mean, when they murder your negotiation partner and you... praise that, there is very little that is going to be beyond you.
I think that they were just using it as a bargaining chip. Why not give it up voluntarily? Because that just invites more demands.
Until now, of course.
It's basically guaranteed that if you stand up to the globalist world order, you're going to get destroyed if you don't have nukes.