I know theres a lot of "it was the joos!" Out there but hear me out. This one lines up nicely.
Background - Russia has long propped up the Iranian regime as a counter to US/Israel in the region.
Premise - Israel had to neutralize Russias long range strike capabilities before risking a war on Iran.
Tactics - both attacks used infiltration and local drone assembly/attacks. Both totally novel and never seen before in close succession. Timng and tactics indicate the same origin.
Outcome - remaining capabilities moved to far east. Southbound ordinance would have to cross China, which is diplomatically touchy. Reduces but doesn't remove threat to Ukraine.
QED
Except they just signed a mutual defense pact. See below.
Did you read the third sentence?
Basically, the NATO blob treats everyone who doesn't obey its every whim as somehow being very close. When Russia votes in favor of sanctions against Iran, that's not being very close. I'm glad for their ignorance, because it prevents them from doing a divide and conquer.