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posted 1 year ago by hellishconditioning 1 year ago by hellishconditioning +23 / -0
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– ernsithe 7 points 1 year ago +7 / -0

Nobody is going to build those factories without an upset.

This is true but I don't know if it will work. There's a huge risk that companies view this as a comparison between:

  • Invest a bunch of money in US factories that won't be operational until 2028 or later
  • Do nothing different until 2028

The next 4 years are down for everyone regardless and then it's a question of if they thought these policies will outlast Trump. Practically, I think this is the kind of thing that has to be done at the start of a two-term span and winning that second election would be a bitch because voters are short-sighted and there'd be a deluge of globalist contributions to the opposition. Or it needs to be done through legislation that can't be undone day 1 of a new president.

If they think the tariffs will go away before the new production is on-line, there's not really financial pressure to invest.

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