I think it's a complete unknown. Kamala is such a disaster and Trump is so popular that this should be too big to possibly steal, but the reality is nobody knows what 'too big' is. Common sense and intuition say that it's become so much harder to steal than last time that surely this time it's in the bag for Trump - but common sense, divorced from the cheatmode of hindsight, also says that nobody should be able to blatantly coup the USA in broad daylight and have the whole world go along with it, which is factually what happened last time.

I don't think Trump's increased popularity or people being fed up with the Biden administration has much bearing on the nature of the steal. The kingmakers who run the election and its aftermath - the press, the shameless riggerniggers and their political handlers - will insert a vertical blue line that's almost 100% of the height of the entire red vote curve into the tally graphs if necessary, and if possible. Then they'll call it 'a vote update from a pro-Democrat district' like last time and people will swallow it like last time and do absolutely nothing again. In fact I wouldn't be surprised if it becomes much more difficult to track any such graphs in realtime, this time around.

Perhaps red voters will be (conveniently) provoked into altercations at polling sites by election workers, leading to restrictions, poll shutdowns and blocking of all recordings, leaving goons all the time in the world to pull infinite trolleys of ballots out from under tables or in from alleyways. There are infinite possibilities because there are infinite heights to their mendacity and arrogance. I don't know what will happen but I don't envy Americans this uncertainty. As a non-American, I'm insulated from some of the fallout and I'm promised unprecedented levels of drama either way.