I'm not sure about this. I feel like an independent democrat would siphon off more votes from Harris than Trump. Maybe their internal polling says otherwise.
Harris voters are mostly dead or digital and aren't capable of switching sides. It makes perfect sense that he would steal more actual votes from Trump.
I know plenty of right leaning people around me who don't like how Trump is so "mean" or something equally vapid that like RFK. They know nearly nothing about his actual policies or stances, but he's "nice"
It looks like those results are a bit mixed, but it seems RFK hurts Trump more in "battleground states," at lest according to this pollwatcher site Real Clear Politics: https://x.com/RCPolitics/status/1826326969207980492
This makes sense, the die-hard leftists will be the vote blue no matter who types, the moderates are going to be normies and the like who really don't like Kamala but also despise Trump's personality because they think politicians should behave a certain way therefore Trump bad. For a lot of people who vote against Trump, it's not about policy or anything like that, they just simply don't like him which is why they can never explain themselves when they have a camera in their face.
The proper comparison is him dropping out while endorsing Trump vs staying in the race.
RJK endorsing Trump would give back all his lean-Trump voters and a good chunk of his lean-Harris ones. That'd be way better than staying in the race regardless of which side he's pulling from.
Listening to Richard Baris, RFK voters are basically pulling from both Biden & Trump in general; but unfortunately pulls from Trump in swing states, particularly among the working class, union dem, whites. That is a group he's actually trying to re-gain ground with.
I'm not sure about this. I feel like an independent democrat would siphon off more votes from Harris than Trump. Maybe their internal polling says otherwise.
Harris voters are mostly dead or digital and aren't capable of switching sides. It makes perfect sense that he would steal more actual votes from Trump.
I know plenty of right leaning people around me who don't like how Trump is so "mean" or something equally vapid that like RFK. They know nearly nothing about his actual policies or stances, but he's "nice"
Yes, they're mostly women.
It looks like those results are a bit mixed, but it seems RFK hurts Trump more in "battleground states," at lest according to this pollwatcher site Real Clear Politics: https://x.com/RCPolitics/status/1826326969207980492
This makes sense, the die-hard leftists will be the vote blue no matter who types, the moderates are going to be normies and the like who really don't like Kamala but also despise Trump's personality because they think politicians should behave a certain way therefore Trump bad. For a lot of people who vote against Trump, it's not about policy or anything like that, they just simply don't like him which is why they can never explain themselves when they have a camera in their face.
I thought he was taking more from Trump. But who knows.
The proper comparison is him dropping out while endorsing Trump vs staying in the race.
RJK endorsing Trump would give back all his lean-Trump voters and a good chunk of his lean-Harris ones. That'd be way better than staying in the race regardless of which side he's pulling from.
Listening to Richard Baris, RFK voters are basically pulling from both Biden & Trump in general; but unfortunately pulls from Trump in swing states, particularly among the working class, union dem, whites. That is a group he's actually trying to re-gain ground with.