The problem is that GA suburb voters are extremely squishy right leaning voters who just completely hate Trump for being offensive to their sensibilities.
Kemp is able to win GA governor because he is a mix of old style conservatism and a mix of some new MAGA policies.
Walker's proximity to Trump really hurts him with GA suburb voters.
The clownish GA suburbs and Stacy Abram's ballot machine led to Trump losing GA in 2020.
I am atleast happy that the GOP won all the statewide races in Texas by a double digit margin this year. Texas was trending blue in 2016, 2018 and 2020 cycles. We seem to have regressed some of that trend this cycle.
Abbott beat Beto by 11 points which is excellent. Dan Patrick and Ken Paxton won by 10 and 9.5 points respectively which exceeded my expectation.
It is clear that the Texas suburbs in places like Tarrant just really hated Cruz and Trump when you look at their small winning margins versus everyone else who won in Texas.
We can keep Texas red at the state level for years by smartly nominating conservative candidates who aren't optically horrific to suburbs like Trump or Cruz.
Tarrant County even flipped back to red this cycle.
Tim O'Hare the county judge who won did a good job blending old school conservatism and MAGA.
We need fusionist candidates to win Texas and Georgia it seems.
Agreed. I think I told you before but I’m in Tarrant county and I think it’s the last red leaning big city area. What stopped the blue trend were the Hispanics shifting red right?
I talk about Tarrant a lot because I also am in Tarrant county!
What stopped the blue trend in Texas this year was mainly right leaning White college educated suburbanites coming back to GOP in places like Tarrant/Denton/Collin and even in Harris county and Hispanics shifted right slightly.
Hispanics didn't shift right in Texas this cycle as much as I was really hoping for.
It seems Beto being at the top of the ticket actually helped with Dems retaining a large share of the Hispanic vote.
Beto is actually Irish and still many Hispanics in Texas think he is one of them.
Hispanics didn't shift right in Texas this cycle as much as I was really hoping for.
It seems Beto being at the top of the ticket actually helped with Dems retaining a large share of the Hispanic vote.
Beto is actually Irish and still many Hispanics in Texas think he is one of them.
Hispanics are ethnically insular so to make inroads, the GOP needs to run good Hispanic candidates, especially along the RGV. It’s too bad that Mayra Flores lost her re-election but it was to be expected. Her seat was redistricted from a swing seat to a safe D district, so she was going to lose in anything but a red tsunami, which didn’t happen.
That’s true. And he speaks his choppy Spanish on ads (I’m fluent due to years of working in Spanish speaking areas). I do remember a local talk show host responding to concerns that Biden won Tarrant county saying it was just Trump. Like you said, the right leaning suburbanites would vote for “generic Republican” but not for Trump or someone tied to him
The problem is that GA suburb voters are extremely squishy right leaning voters who just completely hate Trump for being offensive to their sensibilities.
Kemp is able to win GA governor because he is a mix of old style conservatism and a mix of some new MAGA policies.
Walker's proximity to Trump really hurts him with GA suburb voters.
The clownish GA suburbs and Stacy Abram's ballot machine led to Trump losing GA in 2020.
I am atleast happy that the GOP won all the statewide races in Texas by a double digit margin this year. Texas was trending blue in 2016, 2018 and 2020 cycles. We seem to have regressed some of that trend this cycle.
Abbott beat Beto by 11 points which is excellent. Dan Patrick and Ken Paxton won by 10 and 9.5 points respectively which exceeded my expectation.
It is clear that the Texas suburbs in places like Tarrant just really hated Cruz and Trump when you look at their small winning margins versus everyone else who won in Texas.
We can keep Texas red at the state level for years by smartly nominating conservative candidates who aren't optically horrific to suburbs like Trump or Cruz.
Tarrant County even flipped back to red this cycle.
Tim O'Hare the county judge who won did a good job blending old school conservatism and MAGA.
We need fusionist candidates to win Texas and Georgia it seems.
Agreed. I think I told you before but I’m in Tarrant county and I think it’s the last red leaning big city area. What stopped the blue trend were the Hispanics shifting red right?
I talk about Tarrant a lot because I also am in Tarrant county!
What stopped the blue trend in Texas this year was mainly right leaning White college educated suburbanites coming back to GOP in places like Tarrant/Denton/Collin and even in Harris county and Hispanics shifted right slightly.
Hispanics didn't shift right in Texas this cycle as much as I was really hoping for.
It seems Beto being at the top of the ticket actually helped with Dems retaining a large share of the Hispanic vote.
Beto is actually Irish and still many Hispanics in Texas think he is one of them.
Hispanics are ethnically insular so to make inroads, the GOP needs to run good Hispanic candidates, especially along the RGV. It’s too bad that Mayra Flores lost her re-election but it was to be expected. Her seat was redistricted from a swing seat to a safe D district, so she was going to lose in anything but a red tsunami, which didn’t happen.
That’s true. And he speaks his choppy Spanish on ads (I’m fluent due to years of working in Spanish speaking areas). I do remember a local talk show host responding to concerns that Biden won Tarrant county saying it was just Trump. Like you said, the right leaning suburbanites would vote for “generic Republican” but not for Trump or someone tied to him
Right leaning suburbanites are even voting for based Ken Paxton who I thought was too Trumpy for them.
Paxton only won in 2018 by like a 3.5 margin.
This year it was 9.5.
It seems the suburban voters of Texas specifically only hate Trump and Cruz.