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There will never be another 'wave' election again, at least assuming the media/internet narrative machine doesn't significantly change. This should have been obvious after covid, which would have united the country 20 years ago, divided us. The culture war is too deep for there to be 'wave' elections.
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Candidate quality is almost entirely irrelevant at this point. Candidates can be mentally disabled, or literally hide in bunkers and never talk to the public. Totally fine now! If Trump runs again, I honestly think he'll do better if he never spoke to the media or made any public appearances the entire campaign. The only thing that matters is spending and persuasive media narratives. Doing less as a candidate actually gives less ammo for the other side.
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Campaigns focused on specific fears are the best way to bring people to vote. This is why Zeldin did well in NY despite so many right-leaning people fleeing the state over the course of the pandemic - a single-minded focus on crime and a clear culprit (the left). Abortion and 'jan 6' works like this for the left. Yes, the right has inflation, but the right didn't tie inflation in the same way to the actions of the left. The right's argument was basically just...inflation sucks, so vote for us. Not, inflation sucks, and it was caused by the democrats, and they will cause more of it.
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The RNC would rather lose than support a Peter Thiel/new right candidates. Expect more losses if this civil war continues. Doesn't bother me one bit though.
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Trafalgar is a trash pollster that literally just took other polls and slapped a +5 repub modifier on their results. Works when other pollsters are all missing right-wing votes like in 2016-20. Other pollsters seem to have fixed their issues this election though, exposing trafalgar as a fake pollster.
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Or you know, they cheated. Even they believe they cheated at this point. Every democrat I know is flabbergasted they did so well. They know they deserved to get beaten.
Some amount of fraudulent mail-in ballots are just a given at this point. That said, a true 'red wave' would have overcome it, and it didn't happen. For instance, you can look at pennsylvania county by county - the rural counties moved left, not fortified philadelphia.
I think we are dealing with a lot worse here than stuffing boxes with some fraudulent mail-in ballots. We are looking at the most comprehensive voter fraud machine there's ever been in existence.
They coach seniors in nursing homes, resurrect the dead, infiltrate polling places and counting centers, eliminate partial (or neutral) observers aka Boomer Republicans from the above places, they install software, monitor networks, tally results live and believe me there are algorithms that also falsify or manipulate vote counts in very targeted ways to achieve a desired result, and it's happening Globally! The full weight of cancel culture and the lying media apparatus is behind as well.
Every psyop was successful. Conservatives have never been more divided than that are now. The black pilled boomers are giving up after this. The MAGA Trump 2024 crowd are going to realize soon that he has virtually no chance. The Q two more weeks "white hats are in control" folks can just keep doing that forever it still means nothing. There are no real political solutions.
Nothing has been overlooked, and there is infinite money in it, and behind it. We are basically fucked!
Rural communities moving left is a natural path to you? And not something that triggers suspicion? It's a bizarre thought process, or more so something lacking in any deeper thought.
A rural county that voted 75% gop/25% dem last election could vote 76% gop/24% dem, or 74% gop/26% dem this election. Neither of these occurrences would 'trigger suspicion' in me. Many rural counties moving left (or right) in an area makes sense and is simply explained by the dem (or gop) population in that area turning out more. And of course Trump won in 2016 because he shifted rural counties red (which I also don't think is evidence of cheating).
But sure, it's possible there was a cheating operation that targeted rural counties in Pennsylvania too.
This is the sad fact. Bitching about vote fraud gets us nowhere, whether it occurs or not. If the Rs can't get out the vote like the Ds they're fucked, and that's exactly what happened Tuesday.
The fuck they moved left. "Oh well we have to put up with some cheating." no numbnuts you ban and punish the fucking cheaters. DeSantis showed how to do this, every state that is not following his lead NOW is gone forever.
"A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the majority discovers it can vote itself largess out of the public treasury."
We're nearing the end, folks. Governments are getting lefter and lefter as people realize the government is just a tool they can use to get themself more stuff. Eventually, something will have to break.
It's so obvious that people on public assistance shouldn't be allowed to vote that it causes me genuine pain to repeatedly see the consequences in action.
You wouldn't let the jackass who doesn't want to chip in when the office orders pizza have a say in the toppings, so why would you allow a welfare recipient to determine how much welfare to give out? SMH
Inflation is a hard one because Rs largely voted for running the money printer overtime as well. Something like 80% of the stimmy bills went to green shit and racial "justice" shit or whatever the democrats could shoehorn in rather than checks but "we voted for pork because otherwise they'd blame us for no stimmy checks" isn't a powerful position.
Early voting also helps Democrats by magnifying their get-out-the-vote machine. If you have 100 paid volunteers driving people to the polls and now you have 10 early voting days you have the equivalent of 1000 drivers.
But their main advantage now is that they've created a system where individual D voters cheat and everybody else is technically not cheating. Democrats get several ballots sent to them because of dirty rolls, they fill them out and send them in with fake signature, signature is not checked, and that's another D vote.
How does the law even stop this? A sting for some random dude that might have sent in somebody else's ballot last election? You'd probably have to detain them while they were in the process of mailing them, and then you'll need evidence they actually signed it. And now you've spent a million dollars from your budget to stop a whole half dozen illegal votes at best and they probably will get off at trial anyway for reasonable doubt.
It's not illegal for the election workers to not check the signature or set the computer to 5% match when the accepted standard everywhere is say 80% match. Allowing 100 ballots in a row with the exact same signature, that's not illegal. It's the person who signed them that broke the law. It's impossible to prove at any kind of scale, because the parts where ballots come together at scale are not against the law.
This country does more vetting of people buying beer at a 7/11 than of voters. It's fucked.
I'm of the opinion that all voting should be in-person, on election day, with extremely limited exceptions for military stationed out of state and invalids. And those should have robust identity verification.
Make election day a holiday like other countries and there's no excuse not to vote. If you can't be bothered to drag your ass to a polling station, your opinion doesn't matter.
Sort of. Candidate quality is irrelevant for Democrats. And that’s due to a combination of the MSM running cover for Dems, the “vote blue no matter who” crowd, and the Dems being the “default” for unengaged, low information voters. Republicans still need to field quality candidates to overcome the built in advantages that Dems have.