Has to be NY Governor for me. Hochul is a woman who just fails upward and has never won an actual election.
Zeldin taking her down would mean a lot and send a shiver down the spines of many women in politics.
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For me, the single race that I personally care the most about is Abbott winning Texas Governor since Texas won't survive scumbag Beto transforming Texas into California.
Based on polling and general vibes on the ground in Texas, I think Abbott will win by a solid margin(8-12+ points) at this point.
The swing state Senate race I personally care about the most is Arizona Senate because Blake Masters is the best new Senator recruit in the country. Blake Masters faces a tough race against Mark Kelly. I really hope Masters clutches out a win against Kelly.
The swing state governor race I really want Republicans to win is Pennsylvania governor because we need to bring forth some election integrity and stop election fraud in PA for the 2024 Presidential race.
Mastriano has been polling very down against Josh Shapiro and the general vibes are not good for him either with many people saying they are voting split ticket for Shapiro/Oz.
I really hope Mastriano somehow clutches out a win but it is looking very bleak there.