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posted ago by dekachin ago by dekachin +17 / -2

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Kansas_Value_Them_Both_Amendment

  1. I do not believe that most Republicans agree with banning abortion altogether. Even though the Amendment didn't ban abortion, I think the Kansas voters saw it in those terms. The Amendment lost because all of the Left voted against it, while the Right was split. It was not a "party line" vote.

  2. I think the move by a number of Republican legislatures to enact total bans on abortion is bad politics that will cost the Right votes. I happen to support abortion, but only because it strongly reduces crime and other social ills. However, I think the bulk of the Right wants to see highly restricted abortion only allowed for 8-12 weeks or so, as opposed to a complete ban. So by moving aggressively with bans, the R legislatures are over-correcting and pushing a greater degree of restriction than even a lot of Republicans/conservatives agree with.

  3. I do not agree with the prevailing Democrat talking point that the Kansas vote signals a blue backlash against Roe being overturned. I don't think Republicans are going to change their vote in the general election over abortion, however, I do think enacting total bans will cause some drag/backlash whereas the legislatures that have capped abortions at 8-15 weeks somewhere will not see backlash as those restrictions have broad support.