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I don't remember where I read this, but there's this idea that the correctness of your understanding of the world can be demonstrated by your ability to predict the outcome.

With that spirit, how good is KIA's understanding? Will Trump be on office the day after inauguration or will it be Biden?

This question is not who you think SHOULD be in office, just who WILL be.

1 vote per person, and no you can't vote for your grandma.

My vote: Trump will still be there.

I previously posited here that Biden would easily take the election, and I was wrong, but then again so was everyone else in that thread.

But I have several reasons for thinking Trump will still be in office after inauguration. Redemption?

My reasoning:

  1. He tweeted that there was 2.7 million fraudulent votes. Unlike many people here, I don't have a high opinion of Trump, but even I don't think he's that irresponsible to tweet something so massive unless there was a shred of truth to it.

  2. Maybe his chances of each state isn't that great, but if Trump can conclusively prove through the court even 1 state to be systematically fraudulent, that would give him more than enough weight with conservatives to do literally anything with the election.

  3. All 5 main contested states' senates are republican controlled.

  4. And finally, because he's demonstrated that he's willing to go nuclear to get what he wants. Whether he remains in office much longer after inauguration day remains to be seen.

Current Tally:

Trump: 11 me, LaptopWillEatThisAcc, Etherwaze, ArtemisFoul, VerGreenEyes, TheImpossible1, netruephilosoraptor, anon12, cccpneveragain, deriliction, TentElephant

Biden: 11 OBRIENMUSTSUFFER, kcc446, GallantEnd, SR388-SAX, Galean, Knife-totingRat, peterlocke, lolfail9001, Guy_Incognito76, Piroko, 666sadfrogs

Biden/Pence: 1 ernsithe (mmkay)

Neither: rfu12

Even if you don't believe polls, betting markets are putting Trump at 35% chance, where people are willing to put their money where their mouths are.

Trump may well win, but a lot of you are being set up for some pretty rough disappointment.

As painful as it is, visit places like reddit and r/politics, etc. and see what their sources are saying, otherwise you'll never have a complete picture.

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