Israel has failed. A nuclear Iran yet looms. The objective of the war remains incomplete. Expect more war.

The only war lesson from history that I know is to start wars with war aims as small as is reasonably possible. Bismarck is considered a towering genius for making peace with Austria after Koniggratz, while Napoleon III is considered a bitch for making peace after Magenta. Almost the exact same situation, exact same thing happened, but the latter stopped short of his war aims while the former did not.

Good analysis overall - realistic, which is why people don't like it. I think you could say that Israel scored a significant tactical victory but perhaps a strategic defeat, depending on what happens.