I mean Elon might have some experience and I can't presuppose he'd slouch all the way to the fight date, but even a year's difference between lay martial artists is a world apart. Zuck's already got a few medals and I can't find anything but vague statements on Elon's part. Every disadvantage is a multiplier of how this is likely to go - "I did it as a kid!" doesn't cut it.

They both have worldclass people on their bench, but I don't think that'll change much.

My guess is that this will be lethargic and boring and the moment it hits the ground Zuckerberg will win out because he is just more nubile and better at grappling.